Pretend you have a crystal ball, and it can read three months into the future. It tells you that if the Mets trade Daniel Murphy, Zack Wheeler, Matt Harvey, and Kirk Nieuwenhuis to the Phillies for Cole Hamels, Chase Utley, and Shane Victorino, the Mets will win the 2012 World Series. If the deal isn’t made, the Mets will finish last in the NL East. Because the crystal ball only can see three months ahead, it can’t tell you whether the Mets re-sign Hamels and/or Victorino in the upcoming winter.
Again, this is an exercise. Such a deal would never happen in a million years. Don’t argue that such a trade wouldn’t result in a World Championship, and don’t argue that the trade doesn’t make sense for one reason or another — just play along, OK?
I’m curious to hear your thoughts. Would you mortgage the future for a World Series win? Would you want the Mets to win with three ex-Phillies on the field? Would you prefer to see if the homegrown talent can result in success at some point in the future?
Vote below and post your reaction in the comments.
About the Author
Joe Janish began MetsToday in 2005 to provide the unique perspective of a high-level player and coach -- he earned NCAA D-1 All-American honors as a catcher and coached several players who went on to play pro ball. As a result his posts often include mechanical evaluations, scout-like analysis, and opinions that go beyond the numbers.