2011 Analysis: Josh Stinson

Like the last analysis, we have a very small sample size with which to make an evaluation on Josh Stinson. And like Chris Schwinden, Stinson was pitching at the end of a long season — for all we know, his unimpressive performance could have been due to fatigue. But, we’ll give it a go.

Based on what we saw of Stinson in September, he looks like he’d project to be a middle- to late-inning reliever who relies primarily on a fastball that touches the mid-90s and a hard slider. Yet, he doesn’t have good placement nor movement of his fastball, he doesn’t strike out many hitters, and he walks too many batters. If Chris Schwinden is the “poor man’s Dillon Gee”, then Josh Stinson is the “poor man’s Bobby Parnell”.

Looking at his minor league numbers, Stinson seems to be something of an enigma. Because again, despite the 95-96 MPH fastball that supposedly has good sink (I didn’t see that consistently in September), he struck out only 6 batters per 9 IP, walked between 3 and 4 per 9, and allowed more than a hit per inning in 6 minor league seasons. Granted, he spent at least half of his time as a starter — a role that doesn’t really suit him. But still, I’d like to see more strikeouts for someone with his stuff.

2012 Projection

Simply looking at his minor league stats, it appears as though Stinson took a step forward in 2011. Based on the tiny sample we saw of him in September, I can’t yet tell if he has truly formidable stuff to be late-inning reliever, but he did seem to have a good handle on his emotions and an ability to come back after a bad outing. My feeling is we’ll see more of Stinson in the big league bullpen in 2012 — but I can’t make any kind of forecast as to how he’ll do, so let’s just wait and see.

Joe Janish began MetsToday in 2005 to provide the unique perspective of a high-level player and coach -- he earned NCAA D-1 All-American honors as a catcher and coached several players who went on to play pro ball. As a result his posts often include mechanical evaluations, scout-like analysis, and opinions that go beyond the numbers. Follow Joe's baseball tips on Twitter at @onbaseball and at the On Baseball Google Plus page.