Mets Halfway Point: Predictions

OK, it’s a little beyond the “halfway point” of the season, but MLB marks the midpoint by that farcical event produced by Bud Selig and his merry men. Now is as good a time as any to take another look at the wild predictions spewed by MetsToday on April 6th.

Here they are, in total, one by one:

The key to the Mets’ success this year will be tied to health and the production of Carlos Delgado.
There’s at least some argument here that I was on target. The Mets were 17-13 and in first place after the last game Delgado played. Since then, they’re 25-32 and have sunk to fourth.

Jose Reyes will hit 25 triples, 17 of which will come at home in Citi Field.
Um, I meant in 2010?

Johan Santana will win 21 games, and take the Cy Young.
This was looking good in early May. Johan does have 10 wins right now, which has him in a four-way tie for second place in the NL. If he fulfills his usual pattern of strong second halves, he could pull it off.

John Maine will struggle so mightily in the first half that he will be sent to the minors to work out issues with his mechanics and command.
Well …. he didn’t get sent down, but he did get sent to the disabled list. I stick by my belief that his problems — both his injuries and his control issues — are due to poor mechanics.

Livan Hernandez will be the tortoise and Oliver Perez the hare, and Livan will quietly emerge as the Mets #3 starter by year’s end, posting 13 victories.
Before his last two starts, Livan was making me look smart. He needs 8 wins in the second half to make me look the genius.

Maine and Perez will combine for less than 20 wins.
The current tally between them is 7.

Darren O’Day and Sean Green will combine for 20 decisions in middle relief.
How was I to know the Mets would flake out and waive O’Day? So far I’m 17 decisions short. Oh well. By the way, O’Day has a 1.93 ERA with a 0.93 ERA and 28 strikeouts through 28 innings in Texas, which is in the American League. You know, that league which is supposedly more difficult for pitchers.

Mike Pelfrey will take a no-hitter into the 9th inning, but settle for a one-hit shutout.
This could still happen.

Tim Redding will throw less than 50 innings all season.
Busted! Redding has already thrown 51. But how many more?

Luis Castillo will receive consideration for the All-Star Game, and finish the year with a .295 AVG., .375 OBP, and 28 SB.
OK, no one was talking about him for the ASG. But, he is currently hitting .285 with a .386 OBP and 11 SBs. Fingers crossed …

Danny Murphy will have trouble keeping his average above .250 in the first six weeks of the season, and Gary Sheffield will take over as the starting leftfielder.
As mentioned in late May, Murphy was at .246 in week 8, and Sheff had already taken over in left. Not much has changed since — Murphy’s at .248 and Sheff’s still in left.

Sheffield will be a key run producer for the Mets, and finish fourth on the team in RBI.
He’s currently third in RBI. So there.

Very few “Putz” jerseys will be sold by the Mets, for obvious reasons.
Count ‘em up. .. you can do it with one hand.

Not one “Shawn Green” jersey will be sold to a patron thinking it’s a “Sean Green” jersey.
Anyone want to argue this one?

Jeremy Reed will substitute for a disabled starter at some point in the season and go on a tear, making fans almost forget Endy Chavez.
Well, I was half-right. Sort of.

Reese Havens will rocket through the Mets’ minor league system, and be considered for a September call-up.
Havens is hitting .228 through his first 53 games. Not exactly “rocketing”, though there’s still plenty of time for this to play itself out. Maybe I confused Havens with Ike Davis.

Ryan Church will be traded to the Rockies.
I was half-right.

Aaron Heilman will struggle against the Mets, but will otherwise succeed in Chicago. He’ll get a few starts when Rich Harden goes down and prompt the Cubs to move Sean Marshall back to the bullpen.
He hasn’t yet faced the Mets, and hasn’t yet gotten a start. Heilman has, however, combined with Harden to stink at least once. Heilman needs to go to St. Louis and meet Dave Duncan to be Braden Looperized, I think.

The Mets’ lack of a second LOOGY will be a major point of concern, and trade rumors will swirl around the names Eddie Guardado, Matt Thornton, and Alan Embree. The Mets will wind up with Bobby Seay, against whom lefties hit .303 lifetime.
This one really isn’t all that far off … only the names are incorrect. Replace Seay with “Takahashi”, for example.

The Mets will have a strong record outside the division, but will be only a few games above .500 against NL East teams.
Oops … just the opposite, kinda. The Mets are 18-15 against the NL East (thank GOD for the Nationals!) but 24-30 vs. everyone else. Though, take away the Nats and the Mets are 11-13 in the division.

Jose Valentin will make it back to the 25-man roster before the end of the season.
Had that silly man reported to Buffalo this one might’ve rung true. Surely he’d have been a better option than Ramon Martinez or Wilson Valdez.

Bobby Ojeda will start doing commercials for the Hair Club for Men.
There’s still time!

Joe Janish began MetsToday in 2005 to provide the unique perspective of a high-level player and coach -- he earned NCAA D-1 All-American honors as a catcher and coached several players who went on to play pro ball. As a result his posts often include mechanical evaluations, scout-like analysis, and opinions that go beyond the numbers. Follow Joe's baseball tips on Twitter at @onbaseball and at the On Baseball Google Plus page.