SI: Mets to extend Dickey, Wright “Quickly”

He already has a book deal…

According to a story from Sports Illustrated’s Fannation.com, Sandy Alderson intends to extend R.A. Dickey and David Wright soon, perhaps even before the World Series:

Sandy Alderson’s definition of “quickly,” when it comes to David Wright‘s and R.A Dickey’s future with the Mets, could mean before the first pitch of the World Series is even thrown. The Mets general manager made it clear earlier this week a resolution on both players’ futures could come quickly. A baseball source with knowledge of the team’s thinking was more specific yesterday, saying it’s conceivable Wright and Dickey will have new deals in place, at least in principle, by the time the World Series begins later this month. Wright and Dickey are under club control for 2013, but have indicated they will test free agency next offseason if they do not receive new contracts by spring training.

Strictly from an emotional fan perspective, I felt relieved to read this.  Signing Dickey and Wright would be great for the morale of the fans and the players.

Thinking about it rationally, I’m not sure this is the right move.  Perhaps one or both could be traded for major league ready outfielders or a catcher or some other need.  They might be able to fill, say, 4 other positions in exchange for these two players.

But how plausible would it be to replace their production?  Dickey may never have another 20-win season with a 2.73 ERA, but he will likely give the Mets 7 good innings every five days  32 or 33 times a year.  He’s shown that ability not just in 2012, but in his previous 2 seasons with the Mets.  And for as much as David Wright regressed to the mean in the second half, a team with little extra base power needs a player who can hit 40+ doubles and 20+ home runs.  Wright has done that consistently in years he’s been healthy, except for 2009.

Once again, the Mets don’t have a lot of money to spend this offseason, and many needs to fill.  Sandy Alderson will have to get creative on the trade market.  If he extends Dickey and Wright, two of his most valuable trade chips are off the table.  However, the Mets will be assured that they will have an ace pitcher and an All-Star third baseman heading into 2013.

 

Paul is a freelance writer, blogger, and broadcast technology professional residing in Denver. A New Jersey native, he is a long-suffering Mets fan, a recently-happy Giants fan, and bewildered Islanders fan. He's also a fair-weather Avalanche and Rockies supporter. In his spare time, he enjoys the three Gs: Golf, Guitars, and Games.
  1. Dan October 6, 2012 at 5:42 pm
    Just read this http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/06/sports/baseball/mets-and-sny-seek-banks-help-with-debt.html?ref=baseball&_r=1& , not sure it they need to sign Wright and Dickey to show the banks that they are really in the business of Baseball, or need to borrow more before they make reasonable offers to both. My guess is the former.
  2. friend October 7, 2012 at 1:47 am
    “Dickey may never have another 20-win season with a 2.73 ERA”

    On the other hand, what if he can be healthy next year?

  3. Tommy2cat October 7, 2012 at 7:13 am
    I think Sandy’s creative skills will be tested this off-season. Signing Wright and Dickey is a very solid first step, as both have demonstrated the skill and desire to succeed in a NY Met uniform on a consistent basis. We should not take those traits for granted – their value goes beyond the stats.

    A full season with a healthy Ike, a more settled middle infield with Tejada & Murphy, and sensible modifications in the outfield and catching positions will, at the very least, make us competitive.

    Most Met fans and baseball analysts agree that Met pitching is considered an organizational strength. The key is to continue it’s development and resist the temptation to deplete it through impulsive trades. I’d really like to see what we have in Edgin, Carson, Familia & Mejia.

    • Joe Janish October 8, 2012 at 11:40 am
      I think that pitching is the organization’s “strength” because they have almost no position prospects.

      In my humble opinion, the quality and breadth of the Mets’ pitching prospects are about average when compared to other clubs’. Harvey appears to be a stud, Wheeler might be, and most clubs have one or two (or three) young guns just like them. After Harvey and Wheeler, I don’t see much that separates the Mets from anyone else. A few guys who throw mid-90s and have no command, a few guys who may one day be specialist relievers, and a bunch of guys with average talent that may or may not evolve into a MLB career as a journeyman. That’s more or less what every minor league system has at a minimum.

  4. argonbunnies October 7, 2012 at 6:10 pm
    MetsBlog thinks a Dickey deal might look something like 3 years for $36mil. Does anyone really think Dickey will take a 2nd straight extreme hometown discount to play for a bad team? Or is 3 for 36 really the best a 37-year-old can get, even if he’s a kunckleballer and has been as effective as pitchers making $20mil/yr over the last 3 seasons?
    • Richard October 14, 2012 at 12:25 am
      3 years,$36 million? I don’t see why Dickey wouldn’t take that. He could probably squeeze a bit more out on the FA market,but other then that,I see him taking that deal.
  5. Dan B October 7, 2012 at 7:11 pm
    Signing Wright and Dickey is not a baseball decision, it is a revenue decision. I don’t think they could afford another major drop in attendance while negotiating with the banks. But they also can’t afford to sign other players who would raise attendance. None of their decisions seem to be about long term benefit of the team or their business. It is all short term survival.
  6. Izzy October 8, 2012 at 12:10 pm
    dickey is a very interesting case for free agency. We all hear that knucklers last forever but here we have a guy who throws a lot harder than other knuckeball guys, and how do old knucklepitchers really do? Wilhelm famous for pitching until he was 50…is he a good example? Hardly, he releived most of his career and only made 15 starts after age 37. Would a releiving Dickey be worth 12 mil a year? Hardly.
    Niekro….The best in history, became a knuckling star in his 20s and after age 37 had 3 straight years of over 300 innings followed by several more years with over 200 innings. that is worth well over 12 million a year. How about Wakefield, the most recent old knuckler….. Never a star like Niekro but always consistent and pitched well into his 40’s but with an ERA always over 4 (but in a steroid era) and always signed by the Red Sox but I think he always got 4 mil per year. Thee is no real history for dickey to make a fortune, unless one thinks he’ll be Niekro which is pretty doubtful. If he gets offered 36 million, he should take the money.
  7. DaveSchneck October 8, 2012 at 8:36 pm
    I have really enjoyed RA’s run here with the Mets, and he has be excellent for 3 years straight. That said, likke Izzy I think 3 yrs/$36 mil is too much (after 2013 at $5 mil) and Izzy nailed the reasons. I think a team like the Angels, or Toronto, who match up well with supply for Met needs, can be very interesting trade partners.
  8. argonbunnies October 8, 2012 at 10:00 pm
    Well, yes, as Dickey does throw somewhat hard, age may matter, and I wouldn’t give him a 7-year contract. 3 years might be smart, based on the idea that he’s unlikely to decline much in that time.

    But if he doesn’t decline much, he’s worth closer to $20mil/yr than $12mil/yr. I mean, really, will Matt Cain be a much better pitcher than Dickey in 2013? In 2014? I see no reason to think so.