Dilson or Daniel?

Briefly, the song “Crimson and Clover” went through my head. I prefer the Joan Jett version, to Tommy James and the Shondells’ and in fact, would likely prefer anything Joan Jett covered. Oh, and for whatever reason I sometimes confuse / combine Tommy Dorsey and Henry James with Tommy James, even though Frank Sinatra never sang with the Shondells — though Frankie may have covered some of the same Christmas songs as the Shirelles.
Oh my, I digress … “Dilson or Daniel, over and over” … maybe it’s the Murphy/Irish thing. Get it? Clover, as in four-leaf? Yes, it’s September, I’m as shot as second-division MLB clubs, deal with it.
Anyway …
Daniel Murphy is scheduled to return from the DL today, which means there isn’t room for Dilson Herrera. That may be the best thing in the world for the New York Mets.
When we didn’t know the severity of Daniel Murphy’s calf strain, there were hints that his 2014 season could be over — especially considering Murphy’s all-out hustle, which would make him more susceptible to a re-injury if he returned too soon. As it turns out, Murphy’s back sooner than expected. Is that a good or bad thing?
For sure, the flash of Dilson Herrera we’ve enjoyed has been just that: a flash. A very small sample size. But it was enough for us to see the possibilities — like looking into a crystal ball. No doubt, the just-turned-20 Herrera has exciting defensive skills, speed to burn, and showing a bat with surprising pop, discipline, control, and clutchness (for those who don’t believe in “clutch,” pretend I mean he seems to be relaxed/calm in stressful situations).
Many Mets fans, I’m sure, would love to see more of Dilson Herrera at second base — in fact, many may have secretly wished that Murphy would be out for the year, so that Herrera could be observed for a full month. With Murphy back, no one wants to see Herrera on the bench, but, in the end, things couldn’t have worked out better for the Mets. How so?
First off, Daniel Murphy proving he’s healthy makes him more attractive as a winter trading chip. Probably, a season-ending injury to something as seemingly harmless as a calf strain shouldn’t have much effect on a player’s value in the offseason — it’s not like a hip reconstruction or an achilles tear. But, it’s a little thing that can mildly affect trade negotiations, and when a player can come back from any injury and prove to be 100% when the season ends has that much more value, and quell any concerns about a chronic issue.
Along the same lines, Dilson Herrera showing he’s near-ready for MLB makes him a much more attractive trading chip. At the same time, he wasn’t spectacular enough to put the Mets into a position where they’d be perceived to be desperate to move Murphy. That theoretically means the Mets should be able to get a bit more for Murphy than if teams knew they were itching to move him. (On the other side of that argument, of course, is that teams know the Mets want to move Murphy regardless, because of the huge pay raise due to him this winter.)
Another thing to consider is that Herrera, at a very young age, showed he could handle MLB pitching and promise in the field in a small sample size. Might his flaws become more glaring with more play at the big league level? Limiting Herrera’s exposure and cutting him off when he’s performed positively can only increase his trade value. It doesn’t hurt the Mets’ negotiation with Murphy, either, and, further, helps quell / placate the fan base in the event the Mets jettison Murphy this winter. After all, the Mets’ PR message / selling point in the Sandy Alderson era has been “homegrown” players and focusing on youth. How perfectly fitting would it be to get fans exciting about young (and cheap) Dilson Herrera at the exact moment Daniel Murphy becomes prohibitively expensive?
Even with the spirited play of Herrera, the Mets are probably a better team over the final three weeks with Murphy’s bat in the lineup. And the Mets want to win as many games as possible, so as to avoid having their first round pick protected. Wait, what? Oh, that conspiracy theory will be revealed in an upcoming post.
What’s your thought? Do you prefer to see Dilson Herrera or Daniel Murphy playing second base through the end of this season? Do you see Herrera’s performance thus far playing into the financial side of the Murphy situation in the offseason? Sound off in the comments.
I have always liked Murphy, but he symbolizes to me what is wrong with the Mets, another ill-fitting piece that does one thing well, but lacks in others. Agree that he is probably getting healthy at the right time so he can be shopped this winter for may two B+ prospects.
Oh, and agreed on Murphy. He is the poster child for the Mets’ insistence of forcing square pegs into round holes and ignoring little things.
But it’s pretty clear that his era is over, and that’s fine. Even if Herrera struggles his first full year, the Mets are going to compete, eventually, with a youth movement. Lagares, d’Arnaud, and Herrera could embody that next year. Or in 2016. Or someday, I hope.
Nice to see you revealing your musical tastes, Joe. Somewhere in my vinyl collection I have a few Joan Jett records, possibly including her CnC cover. I wouldn’t know, though, having never played the things – I admire her a lot more than I actually want to listen to her, is the thing. So I’ll have to vote for the original CnC by TJ. Having said that, I’m struggling to find the relevance here. Are you saying Herrera is an improvement over the “original”? That Herrera “covers” his area better? That he rocks, whereas Murphy sometimes plays like he’s on psychedelics? That being no-nonsense beats being vague and dreamy?
Okay, so wait, maybe I understand you perfectly.
That said, I do like your interpretation.
I would play Murphy, hope he performs well through the remainder of the year, and try to trade him in the offseason.
Then Flores or Herrera can be the 2B next year; if Herrera isn’t ready that is fine because I think Flores is starting to become comfortable in the majors (similar to TDA) and can hold down the fort if not do even more than that.
Oh, but it would be cheaper to keep Duda and trade Murphy, wouldn’t it?
Duda will cost less than Murph and regardless of how his offense if valued vs. Murphy, power like the Dude’s is in short supply. He stays. I say keep Murphy and Hererra. Unless he flops, Hererra will almost certainly be the 2B in 2016, but for 2015 there is no reason not to maintain maximum depth. If Murph plays and plays well, the kid can play in Vegas and be ready to step in.
I am psyched about Herrera’s future, but if he’s the Mets’ full-time 2B in 2015, that’s going to be ugly. He needs more time to work on routes to grounders and discerning pitches he can touch from pitches he can drive. The spotlight of NY is not the best place to work on such things.
As we ponder roster moves, I think it’s worth mentioning that the Mets’ farm system has done a decent-to-great job of churning out complimentary players. But none of that matters unless you have some stars or almost-stars for those guys to surround. A rotation of homegrown #3s and a lineup of homegrown #6s is nicely cost-efficient, but it doesn’t get you to October. I like Granderson, but if the Mets were only going to pay for one free agent over the next 4 years, Curtis seems like a terrible choice. He contributes, but he’s not The Guy the Mets need to take them to the next level.
With no budget, the only hope I see is to win a trade on a gamble for a high-upside hitter. Either a raw but incredible talent like Baez, or a guy who might or might not be in decline yet like Bautista.
Any thoughts on Baez, Bautista, or some other worthy gamble?
Wilpons announce quest for meaningful games in December.
“We are already SOBs so playing South of Border is probably more fitting anyway”. Home games to be played at new Mexico CitiField. Stadium to be built next week barnraising style at cost of $200K. Withdrawal from MLB and razing of Flushing’s Citifield imminent. “We think we can be competitive in this league and promise to broadcast all games in English in addition to our new native language for all communications, Spanish.”