Told You So
Sometimes I hate when I’m right.
It doesn’t happen that often, which makes it doubly frustrating. But since I’m wrong so often, I have to occasionally point out the times I”m right, so you don’t think I’m completely full of manure.
For example, almost TWO YEARS AGO, I said the Mets Need a Gamer (and followed it up with examples). They never obtained one. Now they need more than just a scrappy ballplayer — they need an unquestionable leader. Those are hard to come by. Jim Edmonds might have been a decent choice, if his skills weren’t so eroded and he wasn’t injured as often as Moises Alou. And I wouldn’t care about him batting from the left side — some things are more important than matchups (personalities, for instance).
The sabermetricians disagree — most are still wondering why the Mets haven’t signed Barry Bonds (ha) — but having actually played the game on real fields, with real people, I can say without question that a winning team requires certain personalities, in addition to the people who can accumulate numbers. And the Mets are missing one or two of those personalities.
Early this spring, I made another outlandish claim: that Johan Santana was NOT the key to the Mets’ success in 2008. If you read that article, you’d know the key is actually Carlos Delgado. Maybe I was slightly off — after all, I can’t imagine where the Mets would be right now without Santana. However, I still stand by my opinion that the Mets’ offense is extremely reliant on Carlos Delgado being a 30-HR, 100-RBI, .275 hitter. Right now, it looks like Delgado would be lucky to meet any of those targets — and as a result the lineup has a hole the size of the Grand Canyon. To make matters worse, it appears that Delgado is the de facto leader of the team. Where he can lead them is anybody’s guess — but it certainly won’t be to the postseason.
For every two times I’m right, I’m wrong five or six. For example, I thought keeping Joe Smith on the roster over Stephen Register and Ricardo Rincon was preposterous … though in the same article suggested that Mike Pelfrey be left back in AAA. I didn’t think much of the Angel Pagan move, and that turned out pretty well until he injured himself. On the other hand, I really wanted the Mets to go after Mike Sweeney — who is now hitting .307 as a regular with the A’s.
Of all my dumb predictions and opinions, though, I never once suggested — nor thought — that the Mets would be fighting to stay out of last place at the end of May. Having Johan on board, and all those arms in the bullpen, it appeared that the Mets would have one of the stronger pitching staffs in the NL — and good pitching beats good hitting, right?
Except, of course, when bad pitching beats your bad hitting.
One more prediction: the Mets WILL turn their season around, and provide us an entertaining summer. I’m not sold on the idea that this is a championship team, but I’d at least like to look forward to watching the games every evening. Is that so much to ask?