Forget Power and Acquire Speed
Everyone from Jerry Manuel to Mike Francesa to the guy on the street is crying that the Mets need more power in their lineup — specifically, someone or someones who can hit home runs.
But why?
First of all, putting the thought of slugging homeruns into the current Mets hitters’ heads is a bad idea. Anyone whose played baseball at any level knows that the minute you start thinking about hitting the ball over the fence is concurrent with the beginning of a slump. Sure, once in a while an elite player may be able to look for a particular pitch and try to send it sailing over the wall, but generally speaking, when batters start thinking longball, they “muscle up”, pull off the ball, and hit more grounders to short than they ever did before.
But, we’re going to give Jerry Manuel the benefit of the doubt and assume his request for power was directed more at Omar Minaya than at his players. Certainly the man who instituted the revolutionary “opposite field curveball drill off the pitching machine” drill would be sending mixed messages by asking for homers.
Would the Mets really benefit that much from the addition of a homerun slugger? I’m not sure. Certainly, we’ve seen that Carlos Beltran and David Wright tend to get better pitches to hit when Gary Sheffield’s in the lineup. A similarly potent presence would presumably further that phenomenon.
But there are two problems with that solution. First, there aren’t many big boppers available on the market, and the Mets likely don’t have the chips to bring one to Flushing. Second, of the few sluggers available, only one won’t be affected by Citi Field, and that’s Adam Dunn — a player who the Mets probably can’t pry away from the Nats, and may not have interest in.
Wouldn’t it make sense to build the team for its home park? To take inspiration from the KC Royals of the late 1970s / early 1980s and the Cardinals of the early to mid 1980s? David Wright already “gets it”, with his 14 stolen bases and 3 homeruns this year — ironically, Wright is being lambasted by the media for his lack of homeruns, but it may actually be by design. The expansive outfield and 15-foot wall in left has been aptly termed “Death Valley East” by Bob Klapisch. It would be insane to fight the dimensions, so why not work with them?
Add in the fact that PEDs testing has changed the game from what it was only a few years ago. Look around and tell me if you’re still seeing second basemen hitting 25+ homers a year. As a result, power is at a premium these days, but speed — like on-base percentage ten years ago — is relatively cheap. Instead of emptying the farm system for a big fly guy, the Mets may do better to acquire some flyers. Forget Aubrey Huff, Jermaine Dye, or Adam Dunn, and start thinking Joey Gathright, Scott Podsednik, and Willie Bloomquist. Maybe not those players in particular, but you get what I mean.
For example, there’s no way you’re going to find an affordable shortstop with Jose Reyes’ combination of speed, defense, and power. But you know what? Seattle has been looking to dump Yuniesky Betancourt for months, and he’s decent defensive shortstop and a burner on the basepaths. If only someone would spend five minutes teaching him how to get a lead and a jump, he’d steal 50 bases in two months. Similarly, the Marlins are souring on speedster Emilio Bonifacio, who can play both middle infield positions as well as the outfield. I’d ask the Fish for him rather than the lead-footed Jorge Cantu.
Already the Mets are using the athleticism and speed they have, and I say keep running with that idea (pardon the pun). Get more burners, players with game-changing speed, and cut them loose on the bases. For once, this would put the Mets ahead of the curve, and afford them more options than the hard-headed organizations who still think walks and homeruns win ballgames in the post-PEDs era.
Chicks don’t dig the long ball when it’s caught at the warning track.
Why is it so important to have 3 or 4 30-homer guys in the lineup? The Dodgers have baseball’s best record right now, yet have hit only 40 home runs, tied for 4th least in MLB. So, obviously, success is not entirely contingent on the number of power hitters a team possesses.
What Francesa loves to do is compare the Mets with the Yankees, and mention all the things the Mets lack which the Yankees possess. The ability to hit home runs is one of them without a doubt. But someone tell Mike in his headphones that the Yankees also are able to plug in a DH in their everyday lineup, while the Mets have to hit their pitcher. Also, while CitiField may be the most cavernous field in baseball, the new Yankee Stadium is probably the biggest bandbox in all of baseball, which is also going to help the Yankees beef up their power stats moreso than the Mets.
And that’s where you hit the nail on the head greatest, Joe. The Mets would be working against their own home field advantage if they were to start stacking the order with 30-homer threats who can’t run, field, or hold an OBP above .330. Not to mention, who are the Mets trading to acquire these sluggers? The remaining handful of valued prospects within the system are going to be needed much more for this team over the next 3-5 years than a Jermaine Dye or Nick Johnson can provide for the next 4 months.
And here’s a question to pose to the braniacs who want the Mets to obtain more power: If David Wright and Carlos Beltran have had their power zapped by the spacious confines of Citi, would not the same apply, also, to whomever the Mets try to trade for in an effort to bulk up the team’s home run tally? No, no, let’s not put any thought into that…let’s just keep tossing prospects away like they’re dandylions pulled out of the vegetable garden for more overpriced, over the hill rentals who are no guarentee to turn the Mets power outage around.
On the whole, I agree the Mets should keep building their offense around speedy, defensively sound players with high OBPs and good ability to hit to all fields. I don’t think that means having all singles-hitting, 50-SB threats from top to bottom in the lineup. But at Citi, there’s no doubt the Mets can be very successful with a 20-HR hitter leading the team in power. That also means stressing better fundamentals, defensive prowess, and “small-ball” tactics, which are things that this team definitely needs work on.
And nice work on catching Jerry in (another) inconsistency, Joe. He may decide to alter the curveball drill to hitting the pitch the other way OVER THE WALL to cover up his latest snafu.
Add Church and there is a posible 20-30HR guy IF healthy. Ditto for F-Mart.
Dunn will not be a Met. BUT I still think that Carlos Lee MIGHT generate Omar’s interest.
If you want to aim a bit higher, there are some actual big league players who fit your criteria who should be available without giving up top prospects. Think Alex Rios, who the Jays have been rumored to be needing to move to dump salary, and who is a +15 run defensive right fielder who stole 32 bases and hit 8 triples last year. Think Nick Johnson, who while obviously not a speed guy, is a good defender and an on base machine, and who is known more for doubles than HRs.
Seriously though, the reason I point out “replacement level players” is because those are the ones that the Mets can afford. Alex Rios is not coming to Flushing without a top prospect (F Mart?) going the other way, and Omar Minaya is not doing that kind of a deal.
I like Nick Johnson, but again, too expensive, particularly when you consider he’s a rental.
I understand that OBP is important, but at the same time it’s not the MOST important. The point is to try to get the lineup more athletic, and if you can get some OBP as well, great. For example, Wilson Valdez is great on defense but over the long haul will give the Mets little offensively, therefore an improvement might be Betancourt, who will post a similar OBP to Valdez but will be a doubles and triples machine at Citi Field and has the potential to be a major basestealing threat. You can’t always get everything you want in a player, so you try to get as much as you can.