It’s agonizing, I know, but let’s look at the current NL East standings (preferably on an empty stomach):
Let’s pretend the Mets lose tonight, and the Phillies win. Both teams will be in a tie for first, with three games to play. Whichever team plays best in the last three-game series of the year, wins the NL East. Of course, it’s also possible that both teams finish with identical records.
Or, tonight, the Mets could lose and the Phillies also lose. Then:
Still, it’s going to come down to whomever plays better in the last three — and a tie is still possible.
Let’s say the Mets win and the Phillies win:
Again, it will come down to the best team in the last three games of the year, though the Mets will have a slight edge. And a tie remains possible.
What if the Mets win and the Phillies lose?
If this is the case after tonight, the Mets would have to get swept by the Marlins, and the Phillies would have to sweep the Nationals (something they nearly did last week), for the Mets to lose first place.
The Worst-Case Scenario
The Mets lose the last four games of the season, the Phillies win the last four:
Obviously, in that case, the Mets only hopes would ride on the Wild Card race, which currently looks like this:
Oh boy. That’s not good. Unless the Padres also lose their next four games, and the Rockies go 1-3, and the Braves DON’T go 4-0, the Mets would be watching the postseason in the comfort of their million-dollar homes.
Vote for Pedro.