Mets Game 108: Loss to Marlins

Marlins 7 Mets 5

It couldn’t go on forever.

Eventually, the Mets had to lose a series, and Mike Pelfrey had to lose a game. No need to panic — yet.

Pelfrey was battered for five runs on eight hits — with all five scores coming in his last frame, the fourth. The Fish held their 5-1 lead until the seventh, when Damion Easley surprised them with a three-run homer to slim the lead to one. However, Joe Smith couldn’t keep the Mets in the game, allowing a two-run dinger to Dan Uggla to give the Marlins a 7-4 advantage. The Mets made a valiant two-out effort in the ninth to pull within two, but it was too little, too late.

Notes

With the loss, the Mets not only lost the series, but allowed the Phillies to re-take first place by a half-game. The Fish are now a game behind the Mets, a game and a half out of first, but leading everyone in the race for Manny Ramirez — which Peter Gammons and Will Carroll claim is a “done deal”. Yikes.

Pelfrey was doing a good job of blowing his four-seam fastball up in the zone and past hitters early in the game, but eventually the Fish adjusted and started looking for pitches at their eyes. Instead of readjusting and hammering his sinker down in the zone, he continued to pound the top, which led to the fateful fourth frame. This is where he needs to both mix in pitches down in the zone and use his curveball to keep batters honest.

Carlos Muniz pitched two shutout innings of relief, striking out four. Duaner Sanchez also pitched well, throwing a scoreless seventh with an efficient 9 pitches.

One of the relievers for the Marlins was journeyman Joe Nelson, who struck out two in pitching a perfect eighth. Nelson has a 1.61 ERA in 31 appearances, with 34 strikeouts in 28 innings. Why should you care? If you are a loyal MetsToday reader, you might remember me suggesting Nelson as a no-risk, high-reward pickup way back in November of 2007. Even then, I thought it would make sense to stockpile arms in AAA, just in case.

Next Game

The Mets take a day off, then travel to Houston for a three-game series with the Astros. Strangely, the Mets get another day off after the series, on Monday. Friday night’s contest begins at 8:05 pm, and pits Pedro Martinez against Brandon Backe.

Posted in Mets 2008 Games | 4 Comments

Say No To Ibanez

The rumors of Raul Ibanez coming to Queens continue to abound.

Let’s get one thing crystal clear:

shawngreen.jpg = raul_ibanez.jpg

For those who are more literary than visionary, Raul Ibanez is Shawn Green. In other words, a guy who once was a strong all-around player with a slugging lefthanded bat, who has declined drastically in all phases of the game in the past few years due to age. Bat speed – gone. Power – gone. Fielding ability – gone. Baserunning – gone. Yet the Mariners want two prospects for Ibanez, and are supposedly holding out for Jonathan Niese. My answer to the Ms is “NFW”.

Don’t get me wrong — I was a HUGE Shawn Green fan, and enjoyed every moment he played in the orange and blue. But his skills were diminished, and he was nowhere near the player he was in his glory days — that’s why the Mets were able to snatch him away from Arizona for suspect Evan MacLane.

Similarly, if the Mariners ask for something reasonable in return for Raul — say, Adam Bostick or Tobi Stoner — then OK, do the dea. If not, hang up the phone and call Shawn Green instead. He’s the same player, and will come much more cheaply.

Posted in Hot Stove, Mets Hitting, News Notes Rumors, Shea What? | 3 Comments

About John Maine

Sometimes I really, really, really hate when I’m right. For example, in regard to John Maine.

Loyal readers may remember this paragraph I wrote about a week ago:

“As mentioned more than a few times this season on MetsToday, John Maine has a minor mechanical flaw in his delivery that is causing his command to be off. If he keeps it up, he’ll have more issues than not throwing strikes – he’ll blow out his shoulder.”

As it turned out, he did not fix his flaw, and has since been diagnosed with “a mild strain of the rotator cuff”.

Of course, if you can find the time to read my dry postgame analyses, you would have read this Nostradamus-like prediction (items in bold added for emphasis):

Maine described his “shoulder tightness” as “a pain in the back of my shoulder”. That’s not good – the back of the shoulder is where the rotator cuff resides. John’s mechanical flaw that we covered last week IS without a doubt the reason for the pain. He’s slowly tearing his rotator, and the MRI will show at the very least a strain. Bet on this: the MRI will show something inconclusive, the Mets will describe the injury as either “a shoulder strain”, “a strain of the rotator cuff”, or “tendinitis”, and announce he’ll miss his next start. What they should do, is put him on the 15-day DL right away. What will happen instead, is John will assure everyone he’s fine, he’ll pitch through the pain, and damage his shoulder even worse – while pitching poorly.

Huh.

Once in a while, I know what I’m talking about. Just pointing this out for those of you who count on MetsToday for intelligent analysis — you’ve made the right choice.

By the way, you can read more about why John Maine injured his shoulder, and how further damage can be avoided, by reading my article today on Gotham Baseball.

Posted in Mets Injuries | 5 Comments

Deals That Make Sense

The Mets need an outfielder, a reliever, and possibly a starting pitcher, in that order. All agreed? They need to obtain these pieces without flushing the farm system. I have some ideas.

Baltimore Orioles: Chad Bradford and one of: Jay Payton, Aubrey Huff, or Kevin Millar.

ChadBrad is exactly what the Mets need right now, and won’t command a top prospect to pry away. Similarly Payton and Millar are over 35 but are perfect for filling in at one of the outfield corners. Huff has also lost value in recent years, but would be a nice platoon partner for Fernando Tatis and/or keep right field warm for Ryan Church. A deal to bring in all three could certainly be done without giving up any of the Mets’ top young talents. Heck, I’d invite the O’s to throw Ramon Hernandez into the deal if they seek salary relief.


Mariners: Jose Vidro and either Jarrod Washburn or Carlos Silva

Vidro has zero value, and could be released. The Ms are so ticked at the Yankees over Washburn, they might consider taking a lesser package from the Mets to send him to New York. If not, maybe they’d like the idea of having Silva and his fat contract off their hands. Yeah, he’s stunk this year but maybe a move to the NL could help him. The Mets only need him as a fifth starter, not an ace. Considering this deal would be about a salary dump, it shouldn’t cost much in prospects. And please, Seattle, you can KEEP Raul Ibanez. If the Mets really want a former lefty-hitting slugger-turned singles hitter who can’t play the field, they’ll ask Shawn Green to come out of retirement.


Indians: Rafael Betancourt, David Dellucci, John Halama

Betancourt is having a terrible season and at age 33 is not getting any younger. But, he has good stuff. A move to the NL and to a winning team could be exactly what he needs to recapture the magic that made him a lights-out setup man — think: Guillermo Mota 2006. Dellucci could be a nice LH bat while we wait for Church and/or a platoon partner for Tatis. Halama has been out of MLB for a while but is 7-3 with a 4.12 ERA in AAA, averaging close to 7 innings per start. He’d be a nice backup plan if something is up with John Maine; or he could be a LOOGY / long man in the pen. The Indians also have Anthony Reyes and Brendan Donnelly tucked away on the Buffalo Bisons roster. Any of these men could be easily pried away for a song, I’m sure.

Rangers: Eddie Guardado and Nelson Cruz

I’m not sure why the Rangers are so hell-bent on holding on to “Everyday Eddie” when he’s 37 years old and they’re 11.5 games out of first. I read it as a feeble attempt to raise Guardado’s value. Nelson Cruz is tearing it up at a hitter’s park in a hitter’s league, but even still should be at least as good as Marcus Thames. The Rangers might be interested in a young first baseman — how about a package centered around Mike Carp?

There are a number of other players out there who could a) come cheaply and b) help the Mets. These trade partners above, though, seem to have players who can address several of the Mets’ needs at once. We’ll see what transpires in the coming days.

Posted in Hot Stove, News Notes Rumors | 3 Comments

Mets Game 107: Win Over Marlins

Mets 4 Marlins 1

Finally, Carlos Beltran came through with a big hit, as he drove in the go-ahead run with a single in the sixth to break a 1-1 tie.

Oliver Perez was outstanding, allowing just one run on five hits and three walks in six innings, striking out five. Aaron Heilman, pitching on just two days’ rest after expending 57 pitches on Saturday night, was predictably shaky but pitched a scoreless frames to hold the slim 2-1 lead through the top of the seventh.

In the top of the eighth, Carlos Delgado reminded everyone of his hot streak by blasting a two-run homer to provide a three-run cushion, and Heilman was sent back to pitch the bottom of the eighth. This time, he struck out three batters and allowed a harmless single, brilliantly bridging the gap to Billy Wagner.

Wagner did his job, setting down the Fish in order to earn his 27th save of the season.

Notes

I used to think that Willie Randolph had it in for Aaron Heilman, but now I realize that it is an organization-wide plan of destruction. The Mets are focused on destroying this man’s arm before he reaches his lucrative free agent years. As previously mentioned, Heilman threw 57 pitches on Saturday night, yet was not only brought into this game with two days’ rest, but was asked to pitch two full innings — a 37-pitch effort. Remarkable. Yes, he pitched well, but that’s not the point. Unless the Mets are seriously thinking about “stretching him out” for starting, it was an irresponsible decision to put him out there at all, much less for two innings. I will be one of the few people not stunned when the Mets bullpen implodes in September for the second straight season.

Nick Evans scored the Mets first two runs of the game, and had two hits, including a double, from the two-spot in the order. He’s hitting only .250, but four of his 11 hits are doubles.

Jose Reyes had three hits, including two doubles. He also stole his 35th base.

Delgado’s blast was his 23rd of the season, which ties him with Ryan Ludwick and Carlos Lee for 10th in the NL.

Next Game

Mike Pelfrey goes against Josh Johnson in another 7:10 pm start on Wednesday.

Posted in Mets 2008 Games | 3 Comments

Can Fernando Keep It Up?

So yesterday New York Mets manager Jerry Manuel announced that Fernando Tatis is his left fielder:

“He right now is our leftfielder,” Manuel said. “There is no question about it.”

I’m not sure whether to take that as a good sign or the kiss of death.

fernando_tatis.jpgPardon my pessimism, but I do have this slight fear that the “official announcement” of Tatis’ status is somehow bad luck. Part of being a Mets fan, I guess … too many Armando Benitez experiences can do that to a person.

Seriously though, can we expect Fernandomania to continue? Tatis is hitting .322, mainly due to his .415 July. Will he keep up that pace?

Of course not. Tatis has been phenomenal in recent weeks, and I absolutely love watching him play because of his constant hustle and hungry approach to the game. But he won’t continue to hit in excess of .400 through September — he’s not Ted Williams.

The question is, then, when he cools off, how will he cool? Will he cool down to be a .300 hitter? A .280 hitter? If so, that’s fine, especially if he continues to drive in runs and hit with some pop. What concerns me is that he might get as cold as he has been hot, and regress to the .252 he was before July. Again, not a big deal, as long as Ryan Church returns AND hits as well as he did in April and May. Which brings us to other questions:

1. Can Church return 100% from his neurological issues, or will they affect his play?

2. Can Church “shake off the rust” and pick right up where he left off before going on the DL?

3. Is the April-May performance we saw the “real” Ryan Church, or was he hitting above his head?

Significant questions for the corner outfield positions going forward.

Naturally, I am rooting for both Tatis and Church to continue on their respective rampages. But at the same time, the logical side of me says that it behooves the Mets to find a legitimate bat to put into the outfield, “just in case”.

Posted in Mets 2008 Games | 4 Comments

Heilman a Starter?

Please, don’t tease me.

Adam Rubin wrote in his pregame blog yesterday:

Manuel plans to stay away from Aaron Heilman for a second straight game today, after Heilman tossed three innings Saturday. Told he could now use Heilman as a starter, Manuel said he told Heilman the very same thing.

Then, in Rubin’s postgame he wrote:

Jerry Manuel said Aaron Heilman would have pitched the eighth, rather than Joe Smith and Scott Schoeneweis, who combined to allow five runs. But Heilman was unavailable after tossing three innings Saturday. (By the way, we noted before the game that Manuel did tell Heilman he’s now stretched out to be a starter. But there’s zero chance of that actually happening.)

Here at MetsToday we’ve been waiting three years for Heilman to get another shot at starting. In fact, part of the impetus of this blog was to voice support for Aaron in a starting role. So if this is just hot air from Rubin, I’ll find a way to get credentialed to a game and put salt in Rubin’s coffee in the press box. That’s not a threat, but a PROMISE!

Seriously though, if John Maine’s shoulder turns out to be an issue (it will), now is as good a time as any to give Heilman a shot at starting. Of course, the Mets would need to find a late-inning reliever to fill Aaron’s role in the bullpen. Hasn’t Matt Wise faked an injury long enough?

The odds are long, particularly since Jon Niese was promoted to AAA New Orleans. That is a sure sign that 1) Niese won’t be traded; and 2) the Mets plan to promote him to the bigs if necessary.

There is a possibility that Niese, who has been pitching well in AA, could suffer a temporary setback by facing better hitters at the AAA level. If the Mets were serious about trading him, they wouldn’t have moved him to a higher level, where his weaknesses might be exposed. Or, maybe they’re banking on Niese surprising AAA hitters who haven’t seen him before and hope to get a lights-out start before the July 31 deadline to raise his value (his first AAA start will be today). Hard to tell, but my guess is that if Maine’s MRI shows anything of concern, Niese really will be untouchable.

Who knows though … maybe the Mets will pull off a deal for an outfielder and a reliever, and are serious about moving Heilman to the rotation — a role that better suits his personality, in my humble opinion.

Posted in News Notes Rumors, Pitching Staff | 3 Comments

Mets Game 106: Loss to Marlins

Marlins 7 Mets 3

Dat wuz one Uggla loss …

The Mets and Marlins exchanged blows and the lead for seven and a half innings, before the Fish broke the game wide open against the Mets’ bullpen in the bottom of the eighth.

The Mets scored first, getting two runs in the second frame thanks to a run-scoring triple by red-hot Fernando Tatis and an RBI single by Damion Easley. John Maine cruised through the first four frames to protect the lead, then gave up a leadoff homer to catcher John Baker to start the fifth. Maine had complained of shoulder tightness between innings, and was removed after getting a flyout from opposing pitcher Ricky Nolasco. Carlos Muniz came on and was hit hard by the Marlins, yet somehow escaped his inning and a third allowing only one run — a run that tied the game two all.

The game remained tied until the eighth, when the Mets went ahead thanks again to Tatis, who hit into a fielder’s choice to score David Wright.

But then the dam broke in the bottom of the inning, as the Marlins pounded first Joe Smith then Scott Schoeneweis for 5 runs on 6 hits to produce the final score. Dan Uggla drove in the first run of the inning to tie the game, and the Fish scored four more times before the dust settled.

Notes

Maine described his “shoulder tightness” as “a pain in the back of my shoulder”. That’s not good — the back of the shoulder is where the rotator cuff resides. John’s mechanical flaw that we covered last week IS without a doubt the reason for the pain. He’s slowly tearing his rotator, and the MRI will show at the very least a strain. Bet on this: the MRI will show something inconclusive, the Mets will describe the injury as either “a shoulder strain”, “a strain of the rotator cuff”, or “tendinitis”, and announce he’ll miss his next start. What they should do, is put him on the 15-day DL right away. What will happen instead, is John will assure everyone he’s fine, he’ll pitch through the pain, and damage his shoulder even worse — while pitching poorly. Bottom line? Count him out as an effective pitcher for the remainder of the season. I hate to be so negative but this injury was coming with the way his mechanics have been throughout his career.

Tatis and Easley were the only two Mets to collect more than one hit.

Carlos Delgado collected his first infield single since little league in the third inning, then lost his mind and attempted to steal second. Legging out that hit apparently gave him “beer legs”.

I’m not getting Omar Minaya’s comparisons of Carlos Muniz to Chad Cordero, circa 2003. To me, Muniz is more comparable to the present Chad Cordero. Don’t get me wrong — I like Muniz and wish him well. I simply do not see the resemblance. Maybe if he ironed the brim of his cap …

In the fourth inning, Keith Hernandez gave a fascinating diatribe on baseball bats, including a description of how ballplayers used to “harden” the bat by “boning”, and also saying that he “definitely” would use a maple bat if he played today because the denseness of the wood makes the bat so much harder. I enjoyed Keith’s chat, but want to point out a few things. First, “boning” and “grooving”, as well as “corking”, actually do nothing positive for a bat. In fact, corking makes a bat weaker. Scientifically speaking, all of these methods — legal and illegal — were more mental edges than physical ones. But hey, if a batter felt better by boning his bat, I see no problem with it. Similarly, maple bats are not necessarily better than the traditional ash bats. Yes, maple is more dense and therefore harder than ash. However, because maple bats are harder, they do not provide as much springback. Ash became the de facto partially because of its ability to “give back” to the ball during collision (contact) — the scientists call it the return of energy. A maple bat will deform the baseball more at impact, but won’t return as much energy as the softer ash. To give you a comparison: when you play basketball, do you jump higher when playing on a wood gym floor, or outside on concrete / macadam? I guarantee no one in baseball would be swinging a maple bat if it weren’t for Barry Bonds using one when he hit 73 homeruns. The physical truth is, there was something else Bonds was using that had a LOT more to do with his power surge — and it didn’t grow in a forest.

Something else that Keith said, though, ticked me off. After Jose Reyes grounded out in the seventh, Hernandez quipped that it was “Reyes busting down the line, he has been hustling of late … for quite some time, since Jerry Manuel took over he has really been running everything out … “. WHAT GAMES HAVE YOU BEEN WATCHING for the last five years, Keith??? Reyes has been busting this butt and hustling since the day he reached the big leagues — under Art Howe, Willie Randolph, and now Manuel. Sorry, but Reyes hustling has nothing to do with the manager. I’m really, really trying hard to like Jerry Manuel, but it’s difficult when the SNY broadcasters continue to shove garbage like this down our throats. Stop with the nonsense already!

Next Game

Oliver Perez goes to the mound against Scott Olsen in another 7:10 pm start in Florida.

Posted in Mets 2008 Games | 1 Comment