More Mets On the Move?
With the trading deadline less than three days away, and Carlos Beltran off to San Francisco, one has to believe that the Mets are still wheeling and dealing — despite the public poker face displayed by Sandy Alderson. So what other Mets could be on the block?
We already covered Chris Capuano, and to reiterate, I can him moving on to Cleveland, Detroit, or possibly Arizona.
Next on the list is Tim Byrdak, as seemingly everyone can use a LOOGY and Byrdak has been adequate in that role — which in 2011 is pretty good. The most obvious possible landing spots are the Yankees and Red Sox, though just about any contender could be bidding. What would he return? Probably not much more than a single-A or AA prospect. But that’s better than nothing, and I remember way back when that the Red Sox traded a young AA first baseman named Jeff Bagwell for situational righthander Larry Anderson.
Even more coveted are setup men and closers, and Jason Isringhausen has shown he can fill either role. Enough with the nonsense of Izzy tutoring Bobby Parnell and Pedro Beato — if there is a good deal out there, Izzy is as good as gone. The Rangers, Rays, and Diamondbacks would seem to be suitors, as well as the Phillies, Brewers, and possibly the Yankees. And even though they acquired Octavio Dotel, the Cardinals could be in the mix as well.
As much as I’d like to see him stay, I think the Mets have to consider dealing Ronny Paulino, who is in the midst of his best season since 2006. There is buzz that the Mets would prefer to hold on to him since he’s under control; the only way he can be a free agent is if he’s non-tendered. But I think this is a case where one might want to sell high. Paulino will turn 31 shortly after Opening Day 2012, and catchers tend to fade more quickly than other position players as they get into their 30s. Further, the Mets have done a great job of limiting Paulino’s exposure to righthanders thus far, so his stock is pretty high right now. Both the Giants and the Pirates are in the market for a catcher, and since the Giants have already been a trade partner it’s possible they could be one again. As for the Pirates, they are familiar with Paulino (he came up with them) — which can be a good thing or a bad thing. Paulino is also a player that the cash-strapped Bucs can afford. If the Mets can get another young arm or top-15 position prospect from one of those clubs, they’d have to consider moving Paulino. What will the Mets do for catching next year if Paulino is moved? Good question, but perhaps that can be addressed in another deadline trade — or maybe in a Paulino deal.
Could Angel Pagan be on the move? His down year would suggest not, but the Brewers can use centerfield depth after Carlos Gomez went down with an injury; the Rangers might also be interested. The time to trade Pagan was during or after the 2010 season, when his stock was at an all-time high. He just turned 30 and his game relies heavily on his legs, so there is a short window of opportunity here. It might make more sense to see how he starts out 2012 and deal him at next year’s deadline.
What about Mike Pelfrey? There are suggestions by some that the Mets could consider non-tendering the big righthander. If that’s truly the case, then they must also be quietly shopping him. The Cardinals would have been an obvious spot before the Colby Rasmus – Edwin Jackson trade, but there are other teams that could be interested, such as the aforementioned Tigers and Indians. I see Barry Enright still making starts for the D’Backs, so throw them into the mix as well.
What do you think? Are the Mets done dealing or just getting started? Did I miss anyone who could be on the block? Let me know in the comments.
say it isn’t so!
As we have seen this is a top five offensive club right now even without Beltran. With a full year of Santana (even just being reliable enough to get 12 wins) and Niese, Dickey, and Gee being themselves next year, all that seems to stand in the way of the Mets being pretty good next year is Pelfrey. If he is a solid number two or if he is replaced by someone who is a solid number two this team cannot be far off. Even while rebuilding this team can compete and it is hard to argue against it. Especially if another Wild Card team is added.
Clearly what stands in the way of success is improving the rotation and keeping Reyes. I think Alderson knows it and will work to do it for next year.
But personally aside from maybe Byrdak I really believe the Mets are done dealing-for now.
If they slide in August however, I could see some possible waiver deals though heading into Sept.1.
Also, Paulino is the next to go. Bring up a catcher to replace Beltran and the fact he is under control next year makes me believe he will be delt. We could have definitely brought up Jesus Feliciano because he did well for us when he was up last year and is a good stop gap. However, teams like trading for guys they can keep after this year unless they will get draft picks for if they don’t resign. Pagan should be traded this year because his stock is down but fits that criteria of being under control for next year.
Ultimately, I feel that Paulino will be the only person we trade before the deadline. After that, I think more people will be traded.
Also, Paulino is the next to go. Bring up a catcher to replace Beltran and the fact he is under control next year makes me believe he will be delt. We could have definitely brought up Jesus Feliciano because he did well for us when he was up last year and is a good stop gap. However, teams like trading for guys they can keep after this year unless they will get draft picks for if they don’t resign. Pagan should be traded this year because his stock is down but fits that criteria of being under control for next year.
Ultimately, I feel that Paulino will be the only person we trade before the deadline. After that, I think more people will be traded.
As for Jose Feliciano; he is not on the 40 man roster. In order to call him up, the Mets would have to designate someone for assignment. The only reason they didn’t recall Nick Evans YET AGAIN is because there is a 10-day waiting period between call ups when someone is reinstated after clearing waivers.
The time to trade Pagan was during or after the 2010 season, when his stock was at an all-time high. He just turned 30 and his game relies heavily on his legs, so there is a short window of opportunity here.
Look at the data – this is 100% wrong. Studies have shown that the baseball players that age the worst are the slow, lumbering sluggers. Guys who are fast tend to keep their value much longer – this doesn’t apply to every player obviously, but the odds are very much in favor of the speedy guys.
Could you please point me to “the data” of which you speak? I would like to not make any dumb statements in the future, and I believe that the visitors of this website would be very interested in analyzing this data.
Thank you again for your input.
Pelf is a head case from Kansas. Maybe the Royals would be interested.