Mets Outfield: What’s Next?

The Mets have many, many questions pertaining to next season and the forthcoming ones. For me, the outfield situation is very intriguing. Ever since Lenny Dykstra and Mookie Wilson were my favorite Mets growing up, I have been fascinated with outfielders (centerfield more than anything), and the question marks surrounding the current crop of outfield dwellers is worth taking a look at. Yes, I am well aware that injuries, trades, signings, and the rise and fall of prospects can make all these points moot.

As of right now, on the Major League roster are Jason Bay, Lucas Duda, Scott Hairston, and Andres Torres, and it’s looking like either Mike Baxter or Adam Loewen will have the first crack at the fifth slot. We all know Jason Bay’s situation by now, hoping that he bounces back to help the offense and hopefully get something back in a trade. Torres can go get it in center, but his offense is a question mark. Right off the bat, we have two-thirds of the starting Mets outfield that are not going to be there for the short, medium, or long term. Then we have the curious case of Lucas Duda. Can he hit enough to make up for defensive shortcomings? Can he keep up his offensive barrage from last year? If not, the Mets might have two DHs on the roster (Duda and Daniel Murphy) and an interesting problem for Sandy Alderson. Baxter and Loewen could be good pieces for spot starts, and Loewen could provide some nice pop — possible reverse Hairston. Local boy Baxter is a nice story, but might be nothing more then a defensive sub for Duda.

If any of these guys falter or are traded, is there any hope on the farm? Don’t let ESPN’s low rank fool you, the Mets minor league situation is much better than last year. Easily the most MLB-ready outfielder is Kirk Nieuwenhuis a.k.a. “Captain Kirk.” If not for a season ending shoulder injury (see, he’s ready for the Mets), we probably would have gotten a glimpse last year. He does not stand out in any one area, but does everything well and plays with a football mentality that New Yorkers will love. The biggest question mark is what position does he play — corner? center? And, can he hit lefties well enough to play every day? I have a feeling that if he’s healthy, we will find out sooner than later. Matt Den Dekker is another possibility; his glove his ready for Citi Field and he’s fun to watch chase a fly ball. His speed is there, hopefully he can hit enough. If he’s able to to hit consistently, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Nieuwenhuis shifted to one of the corners.

After those two, it gets a little cloudy. There is talent, but they are probably not close to The Show. However, a September call up might be in the cards for a couple of these guys if the stars align: Juan Lagares, Cesar Puello, Cory Vaughn, Darrell Ceciliani, Brad Marquez, and my two favorites: Brandon Nimmo and Travis Taijeron. Selfishly, I hope Nimmo gets some at-bats in Brooklyn so i can catch him in person. The one skill set missing from the group is power. As of right now, only Taijeron and Vaughn have shown the ability to go deep. Nimmo is the most tantalizing, with all five tools, though it’s far too early to get caught up in any hype of our latest first-round pick.

Well, what happens when these prospects fizzle or are traded? Free agency is always there to fill in those pesky roster holes. By this time next year, I am going to be positive and act as if we can spend instead of cutting costs. It’s nearly impossible to predict the free agent market for next year, but names to look at are: B.J. Upton, Josh Hamilton, Michael Bourn, Grady Sizemore, and Andre Either. A healthy Sizemore would be a nice fit, Upton has all the tools to thrive in Citi Field, and of course Hamilton would be a lovely pipe dream.

Suffice to say, the future of the Mets outfield is a bit cloudy at the moment. My hope is that two of the prospects develop into productive pros and can be supplemented by a free-agent signing. I will be shocked if all three spots are filled by prospects. All things considered, at least we have some hope for a productive outfield.

Do you have any predictions/hopes for who you want roaming the Citi Field outfield? Express yourself in the comments.

David Gogel is a lifelong Mets fan. Follow him on Twitter @troonooyawker.
  1. Glenn February 14, 2012 at 2:45 am
    On Opening Day the Mets lineup will be this:

    CF Torres
    2B Murphy
    3B Wright
    1B Davis
    LF Bay
    RF Duda
    C Thole
    SS Tejada

    By season’s end it will look most likely look like this:

    CF Nieuwenhuis
    2B Havens
    3B Wright
    1B Davis
    LF Bay
    RF Duda
    C Thole
    SS Tejada

    Murphy will be traded to a AL team.

    If we’re lucky it will look like this at season’s end:

    CF Den Dekker
    LF Nieuwenhaus
    3B Wright
    1B Davis
    2B Havens
    RF Duda
    C Thole
    SS Tejajda

    If Bay has a good season the Mets MIGHT be able to eat half of his remaining salary and move him. This team would be young, cheap, play hard and defend reasonably well. Decent power and decent speed.

    In my nightmares the Mets will look like this:

    CF Torres
    3B Murphy
    1B Davis
    LF Bay
    RF Duda
    2B Valdespin
    C Thole
    SS Tejada

    It would be sad if neither Den Dekker nor Nieuwenhuis can’t unseat Torres. Trading Wright would be the white flag going up.

  2. BCA February 14, 2012 at 9:26 am
    I think I may have to throw in Wilmer Flores for third or short. Pitching- maybe by mid year we see Matt Harvey and Familia (not sure of the spelling). If Wheeler has a good double A, will make it to Buffullo and we’ll see a peek in Sept.
  3. Izzy February 14, 2012 at 11:02 am
    I feel bad for all these kids. thanks to th pr machine of the mighty mets, and the desperate fan base who has partially bought in, every name spewed out by the mouth Alderson has a brand as a sure make it kid. Well, if its true, the Wilpons should have kept Omar because they are almost all his finds. But as we know even the brillaiant GMs have more faiures than hits with kids. There’s gonna be a lot of very unhappy Met fans when they find out that every kid in Buff/Bing/St Lucie etc isn’t going to the Hall of Fame.
    • Glenn February 14, 2012 at 1:42 pm
      All teams hype their prospects. It’s good business. IT gets fans excited, it boosts their value in trades, it boosts minor league attendance. If a prospect is bothered by expectations now how is he going to cope with 40,000 screaming fans in a ballgame in September on a NY team?
  4. Jujo February 14, 2012 at 1:52 pm
    Why should the Mets eat any of Bay’s contract with a trade? If he is doing well then that’s what he signed a paid to do. He plays hard and is not a clubhouse issue. If Bay plays well we know what he is capable of doing and for 2 years that is fine. The young kids…well we don’t know how a full year of major league schedule and pitching will affect them. Unless the trades that can be made are so superior for the Mets (i.e. Wheeler for Beltran) we should not do them to simply unload. The Mets have so many areas to address. I think that this is the order of need: quality starting pitching, a solid #1 catcher, a 2B that can hit AND field well, Then comes a LT solution in CF. The rest of the pieces the Mets have are serviceable-there aren’t any SS like Reyes, so if we get .270 avg, .330 OBA and good defense from Tejada we are better than 70% of teams out there.
    • Glenn February 14, 2012 at 5:01 pm
      There are many ways to improve a club. Sometimes it’s by making a trade like Wheeler for Beltran, sometimes it;s by unloading a heavy contract to shift the money elsewhere. The Mets have limited funds. Bay is owed 32mil this year and the next. If they can find a team to take him without eating money, then so much the better, but I doubt it. I’d unload Santana if I could as well. He and Bay are over 30 players who are eating up 40mil of a 90mil payroll. That 40mil could buy two great players in free agency or four decent players. Bay is a nice guy and may rebound to be a .250-20-80 guy but that’s not worth 16mil and if the Mets can get out from under it, they should do it.

      The Mets are going to be bringing up lots of young players, players who will hit arbitration soon and want

  5. DaveSchneck February 14, 2012 at 4:11 pm
    There is a distinct possibility that this OF is actually serviceable and can contribute positively to the team. Captain Kirk hopefully will earn his ticket to Flushing by season’s end. Den Dekker needs more time, let’s not rush him. Nimmo and the rest are even farther off.