2009 Analysis: Carlos Beltran

carlos-beltran-1How do you evaluate a half-season of performance that was riddled with nagging injuries?

Carlos Beltran played in 81 ballgames — exactly one-half of a 162-game season. A good number of those games where played on an injured knee, so there’s some reason to believe that his numbers could have been even better.

Those numbers were pretty impressive by the way. He posted a .325 AVG, 22 doubles, 10 HR, 48 RBI, 11 SB, 47 BB, and 43 K, with a .415 OBP and .915 OPS. Had he been healthy, Beltran likely would have been among the top 10 NL hitters in most offensive categories and won another Gold Glove. But it was not to be.

Instead, the day Beltran was placed on the disabled list symbolized “the straw that broke the camel’s back” in terms of the Mets’ chances for a postseason run. The roster had been ravaged by injuries since late April, but fans and the Mets manager held out hope through much of the first half of the year. Once Beltran went down for an indeterminate amount of time — joining Carlos Delgado, Jose Reyes, Oliver Perez, John Maine, JJ Putz, and the “backups to the backups” — it was too much for General Custer Jerry Manuel to take. Only David Wright and Johan Santana remained from the depleted Cavalry, and the white flag went up.

Carlos Beltran had a great half season in 2009. Unfortunately, we have no idea what he’ll do in 2010.

First, there is the issue with his knee, which at one point was thought to require surgery. At least one expert suggested he might need something called “microfracture” surgery, which would shelve Beltran for at least a full year. Obviously, the Mets couldn’t afford to lose an $18.5M player, and Beltran is not the type of guy who wants to sit on the sidelines for year, so it was lucky that such a procedure was found to be unnecessary. But according to reports, Beltran came off the DL despite still feeling soreness in his knee, and no one but he knows for certain if it still is an issue.

What we do know is that Beltran hit .284 after he came off the DL in September. But he was handled gingerly and only started in 18 of the last 24 games of the season. Will an offseason of rest be enough to allow Beltran to return to being an everyday player? Will his knee be able to handle the rigors of a 162-game season?

If healthy, Carlos Beltran is among the top 3 centerfielders in MLB and a mainstay in the lineup. But it would be irresponsible to believe that he, at 33 years old and coming off a major knee injury, can play 150+ games in 2010. MLB now tests for PEDs, so seeing players continue to perform like 25-year-olds when they’re approaching their mid-30s is less common. Beltran is banged up, and the Mets should make appropriations for that fact by having a solid centerfielder at the ready — whether it’s Angel Pagan, Jeremy Reed, Cory Sullivan, or someone we haven’t seen in Flushing. We’ll keep our fingers crossed and hope for the best.

Joe Janish began MetsToday in 2005 to provide the unique perspective of a high-level player and coach -- he earned NCAA D-1 All-American honors as a catcher and coached several players who went on to play pro ball. As a result his posts often include mechanical evaluations, scout-like analysis, and opinions that go beyond the numbers. Follow Joe's baseball tips on Twitter at @onbaseball and at the On Baseball Google Plus page.
  1. gary s. November 16, 2009 at 5:11 pm
    terrific ballplayer..i love his game, but with bad knees he probably would be better off in the american league where he could dh half the year.isn’t there a team in the bronx who has a big payroll and is looking for a centerfielder??
  2. Harry Chiti November 16, 2009 at 9:30 pm
    You’re not serious about getting rid of Beltran, are you?????????? I could just imagine who you would want to replace him.
  3. gary s. November 17, 2009 at 12:24 am
    if he didn’t have 2 bad knees, i wouldn’t think of moving him for prospects.His large contract and bad knees will probably keep him in flushing for a while.winning organizations know when to keep players and when to replace them.that’s why the same teams are successful year in and year out and why the mets make the playoffs by accident every now and than.If beltran gets hurt after a few months next year, needs surgery and never is the same player again, how would u feel about not replacing him when u had the chance?????????
  4. scott November 17, 2009 at 1:47 am
    Here in Portland they held Greg Oden out for a year due to this type of surgery, but it seems way too conservative. Microfracture surgery shouldn’t be a yearlong recovery thing. I had it done in early April and was back to rock climbing and cycling quickly and am playing soccer at full speed with no pain. I had torn cartilage also removed. The logic of “I know a man who …” may not hold for all, but I would think for any athlete it should be a “slam dunk” for a recovery.