Random Thoughts Concerning Cliff Lee


Matt Himelfarb has various thoughts about Cliff Lee … with the numbers to back up his arguments. Read on Continue reading

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Daily Mets Poll: MLB’s Post Season Reservation System

[poll id=”20″]

As Andrew Vazzano points out on TheRoPolitans, MLB is allowing fans to buy reservations for post season tickets. There seem to be some serious flaws in the process. Continue reading

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July 2: Friday Morning Mets Links

MetsToday – Joe Janish analyzes last night’s loss to the Washington Nationals.

TheRoPolitans – Hey, have you reserved your tickets for the 2010 NLDS? I’m holding out until I find out if Cliff Lee is starting Game 1.

ESPN NY – Jerry Manuel’s attempt to stack the infield against Ryan Zimmerman didn’t work. Yeah, neither did resting Jason Bay and Angel Pagan. And let’s not even get started on bullpen strategy…

MetsBlog – Jose Reyes is getting treatment… He should be back… soon…?

Daily Stache – Here are your June Organizational Players of the Month.

Mack’s Mets – An interesting look at the rise and fall of Fernando Martinez’ trade value. Keep this in mind next time you tell your friends that the Mets should never consider trading Jenrry Mejia for Cliff Lee… If you have a shot to win, you go for it. ‘Nuff said. (via Amazin’ Avenue)

NY Post – Jerry Koosman is free.

MetsToday – Bobby Bonilla, on the other hand is NOT free. And he won’t be for another quarter century.

Here is Jose Reyes speaking about his injury after last night’s game (via ESPN NY):

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Mets Game 79: Loss to Nationals

Nationals 2 Mets 1

There is this idea — supported to a degree by Beaneheads — that a manager has very little to no influence on the won-loss record of a team.

A game like this would beg one to differ.

Game Notes

As usual, Johan Santana didn’t have his “best stuff”, but it was somewhat better than most of his outings in 2010. Kind of. His fastball velocity was a whopping 90-91, which was up from his usual 88-89. His command was somewhat better than its been, and his efficiency was good. Though, his low pitch count could have been more of a function of the ridiculously aggressive and planless Nationals hitters. Outside of Adam Dunn and Josh Willingham, that lineup is full of clueless Joes.

But, Santana was stellar through seven innings, allowing one run on 6 hits and 2 walks, striking out 7. Unfortunately for Johan, the Mets offense could not give him ample support to win the game. Which was surprising, considering the big bats Jerry Manuel packed into the lineup — such as Alex Cora, Jesus Feliciano, Henry Blanco, and Ruben Tejada. Granted, it wasn’t all Jerry’s fault, since Jose Reyes was suffering from back spasms, and Rod Barajas has been having some back problems himself, and Angel Pagan (who did eventually get into the game) was just getting off a torso issue. Despite the unavailability of these three regulars, Manuel saw it fit to rest Jason Bay. Go figure.

In fairness, Blanco and Feliciano combined to go 4-for-7 with a run scored in the ballgame. But, that only makes the decision correct after the fact. I contend it is the overall process that matters more than the result — and in this case, both the process and the result were bad, even if those two players happened to have good days. You can argue this all you want, but my point is that when you make MANY bad decisions, eventually they catch up to you and in the end you get burned. It follows with the strategy of throwing many cans of paint at the wall to see what sticks — yes, you will get a few paints to stick to make you look brilliant, but at the expense of how many cans that drip to the floor? At some point, smart decisions have to be made, or you are relying completely on luck.

And yes, I’m one of the people who has been wondering why Chris Carter hasn’t been given more chances, and he was playing in Bay’s place, but … hmm … this wasn’t the spot where I’d be giving Carter that opportunity. Bay needs to be in the lineup with so many others out.

You may be wondering why Carter played in Bay’s spot instead of Jeff Francoeur’s. Well, Francoeur had a .438 career average vs. Livan Hernandez — so give props to Jerry if that’s why he left Frenchy in the lineup.

After the game started, Manuel’s in-game strategy also was open to criticism — particularly in his decision to pull Johan Santana after 97 pitches. On the one hand, it wasn’t a terrible decision, since Santana had looked brilliant up until his last inning, when the Nats finally “broke the seal”. But Manuel replaced Santana with Elmer Dessens, and then followed Dessens with Pedro Feliciano — who pitched a full inning — and then followed up Feliciano with Ryota Igarashi.

Dessens has pitched way over his head, so I get that part. And Feliciano has been the closest thing to a “setup man” thus far, so I sort of get why Manuel left him in for a full three outs. Though, as you know, I’ve questioned the (over)use of Feliciano for some time now. What was troubling to me was why Manuel left Dessens in until there was a crisis before bringing in Feliciano — who perhaps could have faced Adam Dunn in the 8th. Then, with the game on the line, Ryota Igarashi was the pitcher who was ready, rather than Francisco Rodriguez — because it was not a save situation, and it was a game on the road. OK, if you must go by “the book”, I guess that’s the right move. Except, other than against a few batters in Puerto Rico, Igarashi has been less than good for the past month, and this was an effort by Santana you do not want to waste — especially considering that you have your worst three starters finishing this series.

By the time Feliciano loaded the bases with one out, it probably didn’t matter who came in relief. But you have to wonder why a game would end this way with your top relief pitcher sitting idly in the bullpen. Can he ONLY pitch if it’s a save situation, or a tie game in the ninth at home?

Next Mets Game

The Mets and Nationals do it again at 7:05 PM on Friday in DC. Jon Niese goes against Luis Atilano.

Posted in Mets 2010 Games | Tagged , , | 9 Comments

July 1: Afternoon Mets Links and Open Thread

MetsToday – Chase Utley needs surgery on his thumb. That might change the Phillies’ plan to pursue Dan Haren.

OnTheBlack – Kerel Cooper breaks down the impact of Stephen Strasburg on ticket sales.

ESPN New York – A preview of the upcoming series with Washington. Is Adam Dunn really just Will Ferrell on steroids? Nobody really knows.

Long Live Shea Stadium – A scouting report on tonight’s opposing pitcher, Livan Hernandez.

TONIGHT’S GAME

The Mets (44-34) travel to Washington to take on the Nationals (34-45) tonight. Johan Santana (5-5, 3.55) will try to throw some non-tipped pitches against Livan Hernandez (6-4, 3.10). First pitch is at 7:05pm.

Here’s the Mets lineup – Jose Reyes is still out with a stiff something-or-other and Jason Bay is inexplicably resting and Angel Pagan is still not back, despite reports that he would be playing tonight. If Santana isn’t back to his old self, this could be ugly.

Feliciano CF
Tejada SS
Wright 3B
Francoeur RF
Carter LF
Blanco C
Santana P

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Gammons: Utley Needs Surgery

Peter Gammons on Twitter

Posted in Latest Mets News | Tagged , | 4 Comments

Daily Mets Poll: Ollie P vs. Bobby B

Ollie Perez started his rehab assignment last night, allowing four runs and five hits over six innings – in Class A-ball. To date, Perez is 0-3 with a 6.28 ERA at the major league level. You will remember that Perez was signed to a 3-year, $36 million contract in the off-season – who could forget that contract?

Here’s another contract you shouldn’t forget – beginning in July 2011, the Mets will have to make 25 yearly payments of $1.19 million dollars to Bobby Bonilla – the result of deferring money owed to him back in 2000. It sounds like a horrible contract – and it is – but there is a silver lining to this 25-year cloud:

By postponing their payments to Mr. Bonilla for 11 years, the Mets freed enough money to trade for starting pitcher Mike Hampton and outfielder Derek Bell and sign first baseman Todd Zeile. Those three players earned a combined $15.1 million in 2000, and the Mets reached the World Series that year for the first time since 1986. (Wall Street Journal)

Which brings us to today’s poll question – which contract is worse, going forward?

[poll id=”19″]

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Updated: Replacements for Hisanori Takahashi

Note: This is an edited version of my post from the other day. As several readers pointed out, I calculated Takahashi’s FIP incorrectly.

The updated stats include Takahashi’s start from last night. In light of some new info, I made very slight changes in the wording, but the thesis still holds.

***

In eight starts, here are Hisanori Takahashi’s numbers to date: Continue reading

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