Inside Look: Indians

Tonight the Mets begin a 3-game series with the Indians in Cleveland. The Injuns had high hopes in the preseason, but those hopes dashed quickly after the season-ending injury to superstar Grady Sizemore and widespread underperformance by the able-bodied players on the roster.

To get a clue on what’s happening in Cleveland, we turn to fellow SweetSpot blogger Steve Buffum of “The B-List Indians Blog” for the scoop.

1. After a tough seven-game ALCS loss in 2007, the Indians have had some tough times. Were you expecting a step forward or backward in 2010?

I really expected this team to take a step forward in 2010. I wrote a pre-season series about how it was reasonable to expect significant (as defined by “a reasonable expectation for double-digit VORP improvement”) improvement from 8 different players: a couple have been able to do this (Fausto Carmona, Jhonny Peralta), but most have not (Masterson, Huff, LaPorta, Sizemore, Rafael Perez, Andy Marte).

The three most important players were Sizemore, who was pitiful before he got hurt anyway (the two may be related, it isn’t clear), Carmona, who has done quite well, and Perez, who has been awful and joined by Tony Sipp in providing the kind of bullpen support normally provided by large, flaming barrels of kerosene rags.

2. What is your opinion thus far of new manager Manny Acta?

It’s too early to tell. I like that Acta addresses issues openly and honestly, and he appears to learn more quickly from tactical errors than his predecessor, Eric Wedge. His team is pretty bad, though. The first season is far too early to judge the guy.

3. Do you think the Indians are on a path toward eventual success? Are there more hard times ahead before they take a step forward?

Well, yes and no. A significant part of the problem was a series of atrocious drafts, and they’ve been much improved over the past three or so. That sort of thing takes time to bear fruit, but players like Alex White, Lonnie Chisenhall, Jason Kipnis, Cord Phelps, and Drew Pomeranz have major-league potential. I like some of the players we’ve acquired through trades, like Carlos Santana, Chris Perez, Jess Todd, Mitch Talbot, Nick Hagadone, Scott Barnes, Jason Donald, and Jason Knapp, not to mention the major-league contributors Shin-Soo Choo and Asdrubal Cabrera.

But the Indians have a HUGE cashflow problem, which is exacerbated by the low attendance figures to date. From what I’ve read, they budgeted for a certain draw and aren’t getting it. They already traded C.C. Sabathia and Cliff Lee for financial reasons: there’s no reason to think that players like Kerry Wood or Jake Westbrook are going to be Indians next season. They’ll have to live and die with the yoots, and frankly, while there are good signs, the actual performance of players like Donald, Tofu Lou Marson, Mike Brantley, and Trevor Crowe show that … well … these young players are bad compared to full-time major-league players.

4. Austin Kearns is one of the Indians’ best offensive players — yet, his job is in jeopardy if Matt LaPorta is brought back to the big club. First, please explain how Kearns found his way to being a top producer on an AL club, and second, tell us why he’s not guaranteed to be a regular in the second half.

It’s probably simplistic to say, “Health,” but I think that’s a huge factor. The poor guy has just been so battered and snakebit over his career. This having been said, I also think he’s playing a bit over his true baseline, and I think he should be traded. By the time the Indians are ready to compete for a playoff spot, Kearns is likely to be on the downslope (he’s already 30): that is exactly the player the Indians need FEWER of, not MORE.

5. Is Andy Marte ever going to amount to anything?

No. He is a fungus.

6. Over the long run, do you believe the players obtained in the Sabathia, Lee, and Martinez deals will provide the foundation to a champhionship-caliber club in Cleveland?

They will contribute, but they’re not the foundation by themselves, no. Shoot, the best prospect we’ve received came in the Casey Blake deal (Carlos Santana). But I think that Masterson, Hagadone, Donald, Knapp, LaPorta, and Rob Bryson are all legitimate contributors … although there are no guarantees. LaPorta looked horribibble in Cleveland, then went to Columbus and hit 4 homers in 3 games. Maybe he’s actually good. Maybe he’s actually Jeff Manto. I can’t tell.

7. Give Mets fans the scoop on Justin Masterson and Mitch Talbot, two of the starters in this series.

Masterson’s last two starts have been fundamentally different from his previous ones, and the difference is reportedly that he is “getting on top” of his sinker rather than spinning “around” it. Without that bite, Masterson is INCREDIBLY susceptible to left-handed hitters, posting an enormous platoon split. He still has terrific strikeout stuff, though, averaging over 8 per 9 IP. He is terribly inefficient at times, getting up to 90 pitches by the 5th inning, but as I said: his past two starts have been great.

Mitch Talbot has been a huge surprise to me. I can see why he didn’t fit in Tampa, which has dominant stuff coming out of every orifice, but he’s a quality starter. Still, his incredibly lousy K:BB ratio and low K rate suggest a certain degree of smoke and mirrors at work. Unlike Masterson, Talbot sports a REVERSE platoon split, suggesting his normal stuff fades away from lefties and in to righties: while left-handers hit him more often, right-handers hit him a lot harder. He’s been BABIP-lucky this season, but hey, the man is 7-4 for a crummy team.

8. Do you expect Jake Westbrook to end 2010 as an Indian? Are there any other Indians you think may be moved at the trade deadline?

No chance. We will take a dead body for Westbrook if that’s what it takes. He’ll be traded in one of those “the more money we chip in, the better the prospect we get” deals. He’d be a great fit in St. Louis, Los Angeles (Dodgers), or, I should say, the Mets.

Kerry Wood will go on the same sort of deal, except I’m expecting the dead body in return.

Russ Branyan should be bait. I advocate trading Kearns. Jhonny Peralta has a team option next year for more than he’s worth, so I expect him to be offered, although he’s not actually very valuable and may not get moved. The Blue Jays were sniffing around Carmona, who has expensive team options coming soon, but I expect him to stay. SOMEONE has to pitch. Mike Redmond might get a Viking Funeral trade like Jamey Carroll did last year.

9. Tell us about any Indians we may not have heard about, who could have an impact on this series.

We have two hitters who could start for most teams: Kearns and Choo. Choo is faster than you might think, with a 10:2 SB:CS ratio (the 10 steals leads the team). Carlos Santana has been called up, and he is essentially Victor Martinez. (His stance is actually quite similar: Santana apparently idolized Martinez as a youth.) He hit a homer and a double this weekend against Washington. The outfielders (Kearns, Crowe, Choo) cover a lot of ground, and Choo has a fantabulous arm (once used to throw 95 off the mound). Our infield defense is comically bad. Chris Perez, Jensen Lewis, and Frank Herrmann are capable right-handed relievers: we have no left-handed reliever I would trust with any hitter more dangerous than Abe Vigoda.

10. Bottom of the ninth, two out, tie game, winning run on third base. What Indian do you want to see at the plate?

Choo. This may be Santana in time, but for now it’s Choo. (Oddly enough, in the small-sample “RISP, two outs”, Trevor Crowe actually has a higher AVG (.333) than Choo (.308) … but … yeah, I still want Choo.)

Many thanks to Steve Buffum for giving us his insight on the Indians. For more in-depth coverage of the Cleveland nine, be sure to check out Steve’s site “The B-List Indians Blog“.

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Monday Night Mets Links

MetsToday – Matt Himelfarb takes a look at the Savannah Sand Gnats pitching staff.

OnTheBlack – Kerel Cooper recaps the Mets’ offense performance during the Baltimore series.

The Daily Stache – So now Roy Oswalt wants to maybe kinda sorta be a Met? Maybe…

And here is an interview of Jesus Feliciano, conducted by SNY’s Ted Berg:

TOMORROW NIGHT’S GAME

Tomorrow night, the Mets (35-28) take on the Cleveland Indians (25-37) in Cleveland. Johan Santana (4-3, 2.96) gets the ball for the Mets and will be taking on Justin Masterson (2-5, 4.74).

And for all these things and so much more, feel free to…

Discuss…

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Minor League Look: Sand Gnats Pitching

NOTE: This is another installment by MetsToday minor league correspondent Matt Himelfarb.

Taking stock of the Mets pitch corps throughout the system, the picture is not exactly awe-inspiring.

Jenrry Mejia is struggling in the big league pen at the expense of further development. Twenty-three year old Brad Holt, whom the Mets selected with the 33rd overall pick in the 2008 draft, looks more like Bobby Parnell than a top-flight starter in the making.

In the lower minors, “the big four” who dominated the Sally League in 2009- Jeurys Familia, Kyle Allen, Robert Carson, and Eric Beaulac- are all struggling to one degree or another in the Florida State League.

Which leaves guys in Savannah such as Brandon Moore, Darin Gorski, and James Fuller as a semblance of promise. Continue reading

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Monday Morning Mets Links

Minor League Ball – John Sickels has a breakdown of the Mets’ selections in last week’s amateur draft.

The Daily Stache – Matt Esposito thinks the Mets are likable.

TheRoPolitans – The Mets will get the All-Star game in 2013.

Brooklyn Met Fan – Adam thinks the Mets have proven they can win on the road by sweeping the Orioles. Hmm… Not sure I can agree with that 100%. Maybe 43%. Maybe.

The Trentonian – Erin Egan reports that John Maine’s rehab start went pretty well… He gave up one hit and struck out five in four innings of work for the Binghampton Mets. He topped out at 87mph, but he reported feeling good afterwards.

New York Times – An interesting look at what it takes to be a minor league mascot, from a girl who used to be a Brooklyn Cyclones mascot.

And, in case you missed it, David Wright’s comments following the Mets’ 11-4 victory over Baltimore:

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What the Roster was Supposed to Look Like

A recent quip by Jerry Manuel from Adam Rubin’s blog prompted this post:

At one point postgame, Manuel praised the organization’s front office for having such depth that R.A. Dickey and Hisanori Takahashi were available to step into the rotation.

“I think the organization did a good job in creating depth,” Manuel said. “I’ve said that a number of times.”

“Or,” Manuel continued, referring to spring training, “maybe we took the wrong people. You never know. We could have did that, too.”

Just to refresh everyone’s memory, at the end of March, Jerry Manuel and Omar Minaya felt that:

– Chris Carter did not belong on the 25-man roster
– Gary Matthews, Jr. did
– GMJ should be starting ahead of Angel Pagan, or at least platooning with him
– Ryota Igarashi was the top choice for setup man / 8th inning role
– Sean Green was a key component of the bullpen
– John Maine and Oliver Perez were legitimate, mid-rotation MLB starters
– R.A. Dickey was AAA fodder
– Hisanori Takahashi was a mopup man
– Jennry Mejia was more valuable as an MLB reliever now than future starter
– Dan Murphy was the best option for first base
– Mike Jacobs was the next-best option for first base
– The aforementioned Chris Carter was not part of that conversation
– Ike Davis needed more seasoning

And if you go back a few months, to before the start of spring training:

– Kelvim Escobar was a good risk to invest in, and the top candidate for the setup role
– Omir Santos and Josh Thole would be fine as the 2010 catching tandem
– Rod Barajas was a last-minute, desperation, third choice after Bengie Molina and Yorvit Torrealba
– Jason Bay would step in and provide the homerun power the team so desperately needed
– An average-performing, innings-eating starter was not necessary

What a difference a few months makes, eh?

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Mets Game 63: Win Over Orioles

Mets 11 Orioles 4

This is the way to beat the worst team in baseball — handily, in a “laugher”.

The Mets finally pasted the Orioles, as the offensive went ballistic on Baltimore pitching, en route to a three-game sweep on the road.

Game Notes

Mike Pelfrey struggled for the first time since May 1 at Philadelphia, but this time I don’t think it was because the hitters knew what was coming. His command on all pitches was off, he couldn’t get good rotation on the curve, and he wasn’t driving hard off the rubber. Why? My eyes saw him hunching over slightly in his leg lift, just before the left leg began its descent. As a result his upper body was leaning toward 3B ever so slightly, throwing off his balance just enough to affect his release point and control. Additionally, it’s hard to “get on top” of the curveball when the body is leaning to one side — so it wasn’t surprising that Pelf’s deuces were moving more sideways like sliders. Pelfrey has had this minor mechanical issue on occasion in the past, but it was more prominent in the first three innings of this game than it’s been in a long time.

As it was, Pelfrey hung in there long enough to grab the win, allowing 3 runs on 9 hits and 3 walks in 6 innings, striking out 1 in a 101-pitch effort. Those numbers could’ve been uglier, but Baltimore couldn’t capitalize on several opportunities in the early innings.

David Wright blasted two homers and a double and drove in 4 runs. He looked quite comfortable at the plate.

Jason Bay was supposed to get the day off, but played instead and went 4-for-4 with 4 runs scored. Among his hits was a double and a homer over the wall in dead center.

Chris Carter also homered, a three-run shot that put the Mets up 5-zip in the first frame. I see no reason whatsoever to remove him from the lineup while playing in AL parks — I don’t care if Sandy Koufax is pitching.

Alex Cora quietly drove in two runs with a 3-for-4 day and made several sparkling plays at second base. If he could do this over a full season he might be worth $2M with an option that automatically kicks in after 80 games.

Jesus Feliciano collected his first MLB hit, a single to center in the first inning. He rapped another single in the seventh.

Next Mets Game

The Mets get Monday off to travel to Cleveland, then take on the Indians on Tuesday night at 7:05 PM. Johan Santana faces Justin Masterson.

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Mets Game 63 Open Thread

Wow, I turn on the TV a few minutes after game time and it’s 5-0 Mets. Comment away …

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Mets Game 62: Win Over Orioles

Mets 3 Orioles 1

Two down, one to go …

The Mets beat Baltimore for the second straight night, behind the brilliant pitching of Hisanori Takahashi and the general lack of interest by the Orioles.

To me, the O’s resemble the Mets of late August 2009 — a team waiting for the season to end. Unfortunately for the Orioles and their fans, there are a hundred games left. That’s a long time to be wallowing.

Game Notes

Hisanori Takahashi hurled 7 frames of one-run, 6-hit ball, walking only one and striking out 2. Before you get all excited that Tak has “re-discovered” his form, temper the enthusiasm and realize that a) the Orioles are a bad offensive team — 29th out of 30 in MLB in runs scored; b) the O’s are completely unmotivated and disinterested; c) the O’s never saw Takahashi before. All three of those factors played significantly into Tak’s success. That doesn’t mean he won’t pitch well again five days from now, but it does mean you shouldn’t be surprised if he gives up 5 runs and 10 hits in a five-inning stint. Sorry to be a downer, but that’s my style.

Jose Reyes led off the game with a homer, the 15th time he’s done that in his career. He also hit a single, sacrificed, and was picked off.

Jeff Francoeur continued his hot hitting, blasting a solo homer to provide an insurance run in the 8th.

Reyes and Francoeur accounted for over half the Mets’ hits — they managed only 5 all told against Brian Matusz, who pitched 8 brilliant innings in a tough loss.

Ruben Tejada scored the Mets’ second run, but really shouldn’t have. He misread an Angel Pagan hit and therefore didn’t score from second base, and eventually scored on a double play that should’ve been off the bat of David Wright — but first-base ump Ron Kulpa blew the call and called Wright safe, thereby giving the Mets a run instead of ending the inning. A small thing, and Frenchy’s homer would’ve been the difference anyway, but it is these small things that eventually catch up to a club. Again, you’re probably wondering why I’m being a Debbie Downer, but I’m a bit miffed that the Mets are only barely beating the worst team MLB has seen in ten years — maybe closer to 50 years, considering that the O’s current record compares to the 1962 Mets over the same number of games.

As predicted, Pedro Feliciano pitched again, tossing 16 pitches in his MLB-leading 37th appearance. Again, I’m a bit miffed that Jerry Manuel felt forced to “go to the well” for his lefty specialist yet again, to make sure the Mets beat the worst team in baseball. What happens in August when the Mets play the Phillies and Braves a dozen times? Will Feliciano’s left arm still be attached to his body?

Next Mets Game

The Mets go for the sweep on Sunday afternoon at 1:35 PM. Mike Pelfrey goes for his 9th win against Kevin Millwood, who has yet to earn a win and has lost seven.

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