Inside Look: Oakland Athletics

Old Oakland Athletics baseball logoSince we only see the A’s come to town once or twice a decade, MetsToday called on Mitchell Plitnick of the Athletic Supporters blog to give us the inside scoop on Oakland.

Herewith are 10 questions answered regarding the A’s:

1. The A’s are traditionally a second-half team, but are currently six games behind the Angels. Do you have faith in the team’s ability to make up enough ground to make the postseason, and why (or why not)?

I’ve believed since March that the A’s can win this division and that the Angels are a good team, but a flawed one. I still believe those things. The Angels are a team that is heavily dependent on batting average, the most volatile of offensive indicators. That has worked for them in the past, and it’s worked thus far this year. But teams like that are prone to slumps, and the Angels will slump some time in the second half. The question will be whether the A’s will be able to take advantage. And I think the answer to that will depend almost entirely on health. The A’s have been hurt badly by injuries this year and have a lot of fragile players on their roster. They’ve done a good job in overcoming them, but to make the run they’ll need to take the West, they’ll need to be healthy and get positive contributions from guys like Rich Harden, Mike Piazza, Huston Street and Justin Duchscherer.

2. Give us your opinion of Bob Geren. Does he have a significant impact on the team, or is he merely executing Billy Beane’s formula?

Well, in my view, MLB managers have much less influence on a team’s fortunes than NFL or NBA coaches. I also think that every GM puts a certain team together and any manager has to work within the system that his GM puts together, so Beane isn’t different from other GMs in that regard. Having said that, though, it’s clear that Beane sees a manager as someone whose job it is to implement his decisions, not as someone who is really a major part of those decisions. Art Howe, Ken Macha and now Geren are all relatively quiet types who go along with Beane’s system. Neither Macha nor Howe were particularly dynamic or impressive managers—I thought Howe’s disastrous time with the Mets was entirely predictable. But implementing Beane’s system also requires some considerable skill, because Beane will always get flawed players who have other strengths, so his teams are never like the Yankees, for instance, where the starting lineup, rotation and bullpen roles are very clear and guys are simply put into those slots. Geren’s done pretty well, I think, in his first year.

3. Dan Johnson is something of an eternal enigma. Is this guy ever going to be the monster hitter that his skills suggest he can be?

I’m not sure I agree that Johnson’s skills suggest a monster hitter, but rather a good one. He had an awful year in 2006, and he will always be prone to long slumps. He is kind of an odd case in that he doesn’t strike out that much for a power hitter, yet he also isn’t a guy you expect to hit .300. As a hitter, Johnson’s kind of a jack of all trades but master of none. He has power, but not huge power. He’s patient at the plate, but not the sort of guy that will draw over 100 walks. A .280 hitter, but not a .300+ guy. In the field, he’s a fine fielder, but he’s not going to make anyone forget Keith Hernandez. I liken him to a guy like Tino Martinez—a good enough player at first that you don’t need to worry about the position, but not a huge strength there either.

4. The fifth spot in the rotation has been a trouble spot for the A’s. How do you feel about Lenny DiNardo so far, and what can we expect from him against the Mets on Friday?

DiNardo’s done a great job despite being handled very badly by Geren early on. Geren just couldn’t find him consistent work, but he’s performed whenever called upon and really saved the team’s cookies when they needed another starter in late May. His best pitch is his curveball, but his strength is more in his command than in his stuff. He really doesn’t have an out pitch, but he gets a lot of ground balls and hardly ever gives up homers. He has gotten pretty lucky on hits on balls in play this year, which accounts for some of his low ERA. He’s pitched well, but with only 21 strikeouts in 40.2 innings, he is a guy who can be hit. For the Mets, he’s a double-edged sword. DiNardo hasn’t had a lot of major league experience, but at 27 he’s not as young as some think either. He’s a smart pitcher who pitches to his strengths and his excellent command without great stuff can really frustrate a team that has been in a hitting slump like the Mets. On the other hand, with no out pitch, a patient team that can foul off a lot of pitches and work the count will get fat pitches they can drive. When the Mets are right, that describes them, so they’ll have their opportunities in this game.

5. We know about Huston Street. Tell us about the arms bridging the gap between the starter and Street.

Well, Street remains on the disabled list, as does the top setup guy, Justin Duchscherer, so things in the A’s pen are in a serious state of flux. The #2 right handed setup man, Kiko Calero, is having a terrible year. Among the pieces that the A’s started the season with, only Alan Embree has exceeded expectations. He has really shocked me, as he’s not someone I put a lot of stock in, but he has been the A’s closer since Street went down and he’s been brilliant. With all the injuries and ineffectiveness, the A’s have brought in some younger pitchers, like Santiago Casilla who’s been outstanding, and Ron Flores. They’re getting by for now, but the pen clearly needs some help and the A’s are very much looking for seven innings whenever they can get them from their starters. For the Mets, trying to get into that bullpen should be a major strategic objective.

6. Generally speaking, the A’s don’t bunt and rarely steal. Will they stick to that philosophy in the NL park, and without a DH?

No reason to change this approach without a DH. Many NL teams also bunt and steal rarely. Teams have generally found very little use for small ball tactics in a high octane era like this one, which is why even teams that bunt or steal relatively often don’t do so at anywhere near the rates of 15-20 years ago. The Mets steal a lot, but, like their crosstown rivals run by Willie Randolph’s mentor, they do so because they are remarkably successful at it, so it’s much less of a risk. The A’s are a slow team, so stealing is not an option, and bunting, well, I’m sure their pitchers will lay down a few.


7. How will the lineup be affected by the lack of a DH? Does Swisher go to the outfield?

Swish mostly plays the outfield, while Dan Johnson plays first and Jack Cust gets most of the DH time. Cust will be in a pinch-hitting role most likely for this series, though I’d stick him in the outfield against El Duque, who has a lot of problems against lefties, especially the take-and-rake kind like Cust.

8. Are you looking forward to seeing any Mets player in particular? How do feel about interleague play overall?

Well, while I’m a writer for Athletic Supporters, I also write on MVN for The Bronx Block, and am a lifelong Yankee fan and a born and raised New Yorker living in exile in California. So I follow the Mets somewhat anyway and seeing them here is no big treat. In fact, there isn’t a lot of buzz in the Bay Area around this series, although that can probably be explained by the Yankees actually coming to San Francisco the same weekend. Bottom line though, I am not a fan of interleague play. Yes, it’s cute to watch the Yankees play the Mets and the A’s play the Giants. But other than those natural rivalries, it’s not all that interesting. And interleague play wreaks so much havoc with the schedule and with competitive balance between contending teams that I would love to see it go. I think if it stays it should be limited to two series, pitting natural rivals against each other and that’s it. Six games.

9. Tie game, ninth inning, two outs, man on third. What A’s hitter do you want up in that situation?

Nick Swisher, no question. He’s their best hitter all around, and their best hitter for average and, if he doesn’t get his pitch, he’ll take the walk and give the next guy a shot rather than try to force the issue and put a bad ball in play.

10. During the offseason, we heard a lot of Mets-A’s rumors involving Rich Harden, Joe Blanton, Lastings Milledge, and Aaron Heilman. Any new rumors heard out on the West Coast involving the two teams?

No, but that doesn’t mean much. With the A’s, they frequently pull off the deal you didn’t hear rumored. Beane tends to play things very close to the vest and often when you hear a rumor from the A’s, it’s been planted to throw people off the scent of what Beane is really trying to do. That said, I very much doubt Blanton is going to be traded, and I doubt even more that Harden looks very desirable for the Mets. Also, given the maturity issues that still seem to be at play with Milledge, I don’t think he’s what the A’s are after, since they’ll likely be looking for someone to help this year. I’d bet a lot of money that the A’s will pull off a trade or two before July 31, but I don’t see much of a fit with the Mets.

Thanks again to Mitchell Plitnick of the Athletic Supporters for his comprehensive insights. Be sure to check out that blog for A’s info, as well as The Bronx Block for his thoughts on the Yankees.

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Series Preview: Mets vs. Athletics

Oakland Athletics baseball logoThe soulless drones who dress up in New York Mets uniforms will be hosting the Oakland Athletics for a weekend series. Whether we’ll see a pulse from the boys in orange and blue remains to be seen, but in the event we do, here is a quick rundown on the matchups.

Game One: Tom Glavine vs. Lenny DiNardo

Glavine will make his umpteenth attempt to gain career victory #296. At this point he may as well forget about win 300, and focus instead on avoiding career loss #200 (he’s at 196).

Tommy seems to have serious issues when (a) the umpire has a tight strike zone; and/or (b) the opposing team is patient. While we won’t know who’s umpiring before the game starts, we do know about the strike zone discipline of the Oakland Athletics’ organization. It could be a long, long, three innings for Glavine, who will pray that Marco Scutaro is in the starting lineup. There is one advantage, however — the A’s strike out more than they walk. Now if only Glavine were a strikeout pitcher …

Meantime, the A’s send 6’4″ lefty Lenny DiNardo to the mound. Hmm … a lefty that the Mets haven’t seen before … the Wandy Rodriguez Phenomena will be in full effect.

Though technically, the Mets have seen him before — they drafted him in 2001, only to lose him to the Red Sox in the Rule 5 Draft a few years ago. DiNardo was used sparingly by the BoSox, pitching less than 80 innings in three years with the organization. He was put on waivers in February and Billy Beane jumped on him. So far, DiNardo has been a pleasant surprise, first pitching in relief and now spot starting. He comes into the game with a 2.21 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, relying mostly on a hard cutter and a slider — essentially, he is the lefthanded version of Jorge Sosa.

For the Mets to get to DiNardo, they must be patient and allow him to get wild and pitch himself out of the game. Can you see how this is looking like a REALLY bad game for the Mets?

Game Two: Orlando Hernandez vs. Joe Kennedy

As with Glavine, El Duque relies heavily on an agressive batters to flail away at his soft stuff. Unfortunately, there are few hitters like that on the A’s, so his curveball has to be breaking sharply and spot-on in order to keep the Athletic bats in check.

Kennedy is another lefty the Mets have never seen before — ’nuff said. He’s been something of an enigma since coming into MLB as a 22-year-old in 2001 — a big lefty with good stuff, but never able to convert that into consistent performance. His biggest issue is command, as he throws 17 different pitches but is the master of none. That said, teams that show patience at the plate can get him to beat himself. In other words, teams other than the Mets.

Game Three: John Maine vs. Joe Blanton

Maine has been fairly solid all year for the Mets, save for a few blips. He’s coming off a very strong, 7-inning, 4-hit performance against the Twins, and hopefully can perform at the same level against the A’s. The key for Maine will be his command; if he can keep the walks down, he should do well, and may induce a number of swings and misses from the A’s hitters, who are strikeout-prone.

Mets fans get their first chance to see Blanton since 2005, who was the subject of trade rumors all offseason. There’s nothing special about him — he’s a workhorse who throws a lot of strikes and eats up innings. He does, however, have a good overhand curve — and we know that’s the Mets’ kryptonite, even when they’re hot. Consider Blanton the Jeff Suppan of the A’s (so yes, it’s time to get nervous).

For a more complete analysis of the A’s pitchers, visit MetsGeek.

Mets Bats

Julio Franco’s four walks this month lead all Mets other than Jose Reyes and David Wright. The first two starters the Mets will see prey on aggressive hitters. This does not make for a good combination.

On the bright side, Carlos Beltran showed signs of coming out of his slump, with a 3-for-4 day on Wednesday and several well-hit balls on Monday, including a double. The Mets need him to go ballistic this weekend.

A’s Bats

If the Mets have any advantage, it is that the Athletics’ top hitters have not done well over the last week, save for Nick Swisher — who is hitting .370 over the last seven days. Eric Chavez, Bobby Crosby, and Dan Johnson are all struggling over the last few weeks, but Mark Kotsay is showing signs of life, as is Jason Kendall. Lately, the A’s have been getting major offensive jolts from unlikely sources, particularly Jack Cust (.440 with 2 HR in his last seven games), Mark Ellis, and Travis Buck. Cust has been primarily a DH (filling in for the injured Mike Piazza), so it should be interesting to see how manager Bob Geren shuffles his defense to get Cust’s bat in the lineup. Pitcher Joe Kennedy is 1-for-2 with a double this year, and Lenny DiNardo is also 1-for-2 — for what it’s worth.

Bottom Line

A few weeks ago, the pitching matchups would favor the Mets. However, considering the offense’s refusal to exhibit anything resembling plate discipline, it looks today like the A’s have the advantage. Unless the Mets make an immediate change in their hitting approach, and receive remarkable pitching performances, it looks like another long weekend for Mets fans.

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Pelfrey vs. Mulvey

Matt “The Stat” over at Cyclones Nation posted a scouting report on Kevin Mulvey and Philip Humber, which piqued my interest.

Take a look at Mulvey’s stats in AA Binghamton so far:

G:14 |W-L:6-5 |ERA:3.24 |IP:75 |H:71 |BB:20 |K:51 |HR:1

Now look at these:

G:12 |W-L:4-2 |ERA:2.71 |IP:66 |H: 60 |BB:26 |K:77 |HR:2

Mets minor league prospect Kevin MulveyThat second line is Mike Pelfrey at AA Binghamton in 2006. Other than the strikeout totals, the numbers are similar — which makes one wonder: 1. Does Mulvey project as better than a #5 starter? and 2. Might we see Mulvey sooner than anyone realized?

Mulvey doesn’t have the dominating, swing-and-miss stuff that Pelfrey had, but that might be to his advantage. While Pelfrey relied on his hard fastball to overpower immature hitters in college, A, and AA, that didn’t translate well in the bigs. Mulvey, on the other hand, relies more on command and guile, spotting a sinking fastball, curveball, slider, and change. Mulvey’s advanced and polished repertoire were the main reason the Mets were OK with sending Brian Bannister to Kansas City — he’s effectively a younger version of Bannister, with similar upside, yet nearly as close to MLB-readiness.

While Pelfrey relied on his sinking fastball 90-95% of the time in AA, Mulvey’s success has been the result of strong command and the ability to change speeds. One would guess that Mulvey’s approach would be more in line with what he’ll need to do at the Major League level, and thus his skills may very well be more translatable than Pelfrey’s were at the same point in time.

Who knows, we may see Kevin Mulvey getting a few spot starts this September — if not sooner.

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Twins Killings Me

As if it weren’t bad enough to watch the Mets lose a series to the Twins, you can now re-live the debacle again by listening to me being interviewed by Jeff Straub on the Twins Killings podcast.

Actually, it’s not that painful an interview — at least two minutes of it had nothing to do with the Mets troubles.

I come in around the 38-minute mark.

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Why So Orange?

MetsToday reader Sammy from Secaucus asks,

“Why is the SNY staff’s skin so orange?”.

Lee Mazzilli orange and blueGood question, Sammy. No one’s quite sure. Lee Mazzilli, for one, looks like Tony Soprano meets the Great Pumpkin. It could be all the carrot juice they’re drinking during commercials. Or perhaps the makeup crew is trying to match the Mets’ official colors — and if they chose the other color, it would appear they were copying the Blue Man Group (or stealing from the Smurfs).

Joe Torre picking a winner in the Yankee dugoutIn any case, they look healthier than the men in the Yankee dugout — specifically Joe Torre — who appear seriously jaundiced. The Yankees trainer would do well to contact David Wright about some of his Vitamin Water — the Power-C or 50-Cent should do the trick.


Trish from Queens writes,

The Mets issues seem to be with pitching and hitting. Isn’t it a no-brainer to make a deal with the White Sox to get Mark Buehrle and Jermaine Dye?

While the Mets could certainly use both of those players, I’m not so sure it’s a “no-brainer”. The biggest issue is that both Buehrle and Dye will be free agents at the end of the year, and thus the Mets would be essentially trading for “rent-a-players”. Though letting Dye walk would not bother the Mets much, Buehrle would be a guy worth locking up for a few years. However, word on the street is that Buehrle’s dream is to play for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he’d be a fool not to test the free-agent waters after seeing what Barry Zito commanded on the open market. If the Mets can find a way to get those players without giving up the farm — i.e., Lastings Milledge, Mike Pelfrey, Philip Humber, Carlos Gomez, and Fernando Martinez — then I’d agree it’s a “no-brainer”. Unfortunately, the White Sox most surely will demand at least one or more of those highly-touted prospects in a deal.

Do you have a question for MetsToday? Send your question through the Contact Page. We promise not to berate, embarrass, or otherwise offend you (at least, not publicly).

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Hear MetsToday on The Sports Docket

For those of you who missed it live, visit The Sports Docket, where MetsToday’s own Joe Janish speaks with “Aceman and The Kwass” in episode twelve.

The Sports Docket is an independent program run by a couple of teenagers, so don’t expect the professional quality of, say, the Michael Kay Show. However, Aceman and The Kwass get fairly prominent guests (Matt Cerrone of MetsBlog was on last week), and are improving with every episode. I’ll take them over fatman and the rabid dog any day of the week.

By the way, it’s an hour-long show, and I come in around the 25-minute mark.

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Help for the Kids

Nike orange swooshNike has contacted MetsToday to let everyone know about a promotion they are running for New York Little League programs.

For every homerun that David Wright hits this year, Nike will donate $1000 to a Little League team based in the five boroughs of New York.
David Wright hits for the New York Mets
If you are a parent, fan, coach, or player for a New York Little League team, and would like to have a chance to be one of the lucky recipients of the thousand-dollar donation, all you have to do is submit an essay on why you love baseball and why your team deserves new equipment.

All submissions must be sent by June 30, 2007 to WrightOn@nike.com.

This opportunity is a no-brainer for anyone involved in a NY Little League program — so send in your essay and root for D-Wright to hit some dingers!

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How Einstein Can Help the Mets

Over and over during the Mets’ last 16 games, we keep hearing utterances such as “…we’ll get out of this thing …” , “… we have to ride it out … ” , ” … we have to get through it …” , and etc.

Albert Einstein pop artThis 13 losses out of 16 games slump is a RESULT — not a tangible object. Yet the manager, players, writers, and fans often refer to lack of success as something like a rainstorm — and that it will eventually, magically pass.

Contrary to popular belief, the Mets’ lack of success is not due to the baseball gods raining down upon them, nor bad luck, nor a voo-doo spell, nor any other mystical, uncontrollable force.

Further, no magic potion or other elixir is going to turn the Mets from losers to winners.

The Mets are losing because they are thinking like losers, feeling like losers, and executing like losers. How can they revert to winning? It’s really quite simple.

Albert Einstein once proclaimed the definition of insanity as doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. That said, the Mets are insane, because for the entire month of June, they continue to do the exact same things, game after game, and yet expect to win.

The most glaring and impactful issue is the current team-wide approach to hitting. No one — other than maybe Shawn Green — is consistently taking pitches and getting into deep counts. Evidence of this is seen by their walk total: the Mets are dead last in MLB with 40 walks in June — and 6 of those were intentional. 34 unintentional walks in 18 games in this day and age of the shrinking strike zone is abominable.

You want to hear something REALLY unbelievable? There are only four Mets with more than two walks in the month of June — and two of those players are Julio Franco and Ruben Gotay!

Should the Mets start taking until there are two strikes? Not necessarily — but it wouldn’t be such a bad idea to go up with the idea of taking a strike in some situations, depending on the score and the pitcher. Most Little Leaguers know to take a strike when they’re behind in the score — why can’t Major Leaguers use the same philosophy? QuesTec has narrowed the strike zone, and several of the homeplate umpires recently had unusually tight zones — which the opponents picked up on, but the Mets did not.

Willie Randolph keeps saying that the Mets are running into good pitching, but that’s not entirely true — the hitters are making it easy for the opposing pitcher to beat them. A prime example came on Tuesday night against the Twins. Yes, Johan Santana is a great pitcher — maybe the best in all of MLB — but he’s been beaten six times this year. His four-hit shutout was due more to the Mets’ stupidity than Santana’s skill. Don’t believe it? Check the pitch-by-pitch account of the contest — of the 31 batters Santana faced, he started off 16 of them with a ball. Sixteen Mets got up against the Great Santana and were ahead 1-0. In 10 of those 16 instances, the batter swung at the very next pitch. Nine of those ten occurred after the Mets were already down by five — so clearly, the idea to take a strike, maybe draw a walk, was not a consideration. Why? Because Santana doesn’t throw balls? Bull — you won’t know until you give him the opportunity. Santana might have had an off-night, but the Mets never gave him a chance to fail. Had the Mets gone up to the plate with the mindset that they’ll take a strike, maybe Santana gets the count to 2-0, or 2-1, or 3-0 — much better hitting counts. Who knows, he might have walked a batter or two, might have gotten into some trouble — but we’ll never know.

I understand the idea that Santana is so great that a batter may only get one pitch to hit in an at-bat, but that shouldn’t preclude a hitter from allowing Santana to throw one strike. A 1-1 count does not put the batter at a disadvantage, so why were the Mets so anxious to swing on 1-0 — especially five runs down? Even if you get a good pitch to hit, it’s not like you can slam a five-run homer.

As mentioned in a previous post, this change in approach rests with Rick Down. It doesn’t matter whether Down is an advocate of getting deep into counts or not — the point is, the Mets aren’t approaching their at-bats with any kind of sense. If Down is trying to get them to be more patient, but isn’t getting through, then someone who CAN get through has to come in (newsflash: Rickey is on the way).

Or, the Mets can continue their over-agressive ways, and prove Einstein’s definition of insanity.

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