What’s Wrong with K-Rod

As we all know, Francisco Rodriguez’s velocity has gone down in the past few years, and he’s throwing fewer breaking balls. The result is he’s more hittable. I’m not entirely sure why K-Rod started relying more heavily on the change-up over the nasty slider and curve. Personally, I prefer that he made that change (pardon the pun) because the slowball is very effective and it takes much less toll on the arm.

Though, is it a coincidence that K-Rod is now throwing half as many breaking pitches as he did in 2006, and his average velocity has lost a full 4 MPH since then? Or maybe the two are somehow related?

Huh … everyone wondered how Omar Minaya was able to sign K-Rod “so cheaply”. Kind of funny that Minaya acquired two relievers (remember J.J. Putz?) as damaged goods in that winter following 2008. Anyway, I digress …

I checked out video of Francisco Rodriguez going back to 2006 and every year since. He made some minor changes to his mechanics in 2007 due to a problem with his left ankle that began when he landed awkwardly and injured it.

So I was talking about watching video. Here are some snapshots:

This is a shot of his release point from 2006. Note how his head is starting to veer toward the 1B line, but his momentum is still driving toward home plate.

Also from 2006, but after the release point. Check out his landing foot -- straight, knee locked, and stable.

Again, 2006 follow-through. Note, again, the stable left leg.

The next photos are from K-Rod’s appearance on July 3rd.

The release point is similar to 2006, but his body is following his head toward the 1B line.

Another shot of the release point, but at a different time in the game. Again, note how his upper body is kind of twisting away from home plate. Also note the landing leg, which is collapsing at the knee (see the red arrow).

From what we’ve read, that knee bending forward probably has something to do with taking pressure off the ankle and shortening his stride. Generally speaking, when a pitcher shortens his stride, he can lose some velocity (also, the ball has to travel a slightly longer distance).

Compare to a similar point in the follow-through from 2006 above. Again, the front leg is collapsing but also it looks like his ankle is rolling over and is completely unstable. A pitcher can't have much command when he is unbalanced.

Further along in the follow-through. K-Rod has always had a wild follow-through toward 1B, but here you can see it has more to do with his landing leg being unable to support him, rather than the violence of his momentum.

Another thing, maybe it’s the baggy Mets uniform, but for some reason K-Rod looks like he’s carrying more weight than he did in 2006. It doesn’t take a genius to realize that extra weight can put a strain on joints (like ankles).

So what does it all mean? I’m going to go out on a limb and guess that the left ankle problem is flaring up again. K-Rod didn’t say a word about the injury in 2007, so it wouldn’t be surprising if he was hiding something now. A weak ankle would definitely explain K-Rod’s command issues lately, and could have something to do with his velocity continuing to dwindle. That said, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him start to use more sliders and curves — unless he is also hiding an elbow issue. Oh, and an elbow injury could have been sustained as a result of changing his lower-body mechanics back in 2007.

Interesting how things can tie together, isn’t it? It’s as if body parts are all connected, or something … dem dry bones!

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July 8: Thursday Morning Mets Links

The Mets are off today and there will be no afternoon links… Stay tuned for Joe Janish’s take on Francisco Rodriguez’s recent struggles and there may be a Mets poll at some point.

Here are your morning Mets links:

Daily Stache – Byran Rothstein thinks it’s time to stop worrying about Johan Santana.

Real Dirty Mets Blog – Ruben Tejada is colder than Argenis Reyes standing on a glacier with no jacket. Would you include him in a deal for Cliff Lee now?

Mets Gazette – Tom Greenhalgh looks at how the return of Carlos Beltran will impact the outfield.

Read the Apple – The shocking “truth” about how Johan Santana threw a complete game on Tuesday – he cut the cord to the bullpen phone. It’s humor, people.

Faith and Fear in Flushing – FAFIF is hosting Amazin’ All-Star Monday. Here’s the scoop:

Monday, July 12 is AMAZIN’ ALL-STAR MONDAY. Come out to Two Boots Grand Central at 7 PM. It’s in the Lower Dining Concourse of Grand Central Terminal, 42nd Street and Park Avenue, accessible via Metro-North as well as the 4, 5, 6, Times Square Shuttle and, of course, the 7 train. Phone: 212/557-7992. Full details here.

And here is the latest from Kerel Cooper at OnTheBlack:

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Mets Game 85: Loss to Reds

Reds 3 Mets 1

Jon Niese pitched well. But Bronson Arroyo pitched a little bit better.

Niese pitched an efficient 7 2/3 innings, allowing 3 runs on 6 hits and a walk, expending only 99 pitches. On another night, it might’ve been enough to earn a victory. Unfortunately, the Mets offense could do nothing against the stiff-legged delivery of Arroyo, who held them to one run on 7 hits in 8 innings.

Game Notes

Niese struck out 8 and as mentioned was extremely efficient, averaging right around a dozen pitches per inning (15 per inning is considered good). I still don’t like his dropped arm angle, which flattens all of his pitches. A few times later in the game he threw with a distinctly sidearm delivery; was that on purpose or due to fatigue? I’m leaning toward the latter, unless he’s been texting with Ollie Perez lately.

The only Met to score, and to drive in a run, was Angel Pagan, who hit a solo homer in the first frame. Carlos who?

Pagan had two hits, as did Josh Thole, who started the game behind the dish.

Next Mets Game

The Mets have a day off on Thursday, then host the Braves for a three-game set beginning on Friday night at 7:10 PM. R.A. Dickey faces Tommy Hanson.

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Ken Davidoff: Mets Like Lilly

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July 7: Mets Links, Lineups and Open Thread

MetsFansForever – Will Sommer interviews Mike Newman of the blog “Scouting the Sally.” Very interesting read, especially if you like to follow minor league prospects.

MetsBlog – Matt Cerrone reports on an upcoming article in ESPN: The Magazine that paints Omar Minaya as sort of a clown who is prone to making ridiculous trade offers. Maybe he should try calling in to WFAN.

Mets Police – Shannon Shark asks if Howie Rose is the best radio broadcaster in baseball. Short of Vin Scully, I would say Howie is the best broadcaster in baseball, period. End of story.

TedQuarters – Ted Berg takes a look at Josh Thole. Interesting read…

Anthony DiComo – DiComo is reporting that Ollie Perez will be joining the Buffalo Bisons… He is now one step away from returning. Prepare yourselves accordingly.

TONIGHT’S GAME

The Mets (47-37) face the Reds (48-37) in the rubber game of the three-game series at Citi Field. Jon Niese (6-2, 3.62) will face Bronson Arroyo (8-4, 4.25). First pitch at 7:10pm.

The Mets starting lineup:

Jose Reyes – SS
Angel Pagan – CF
David Wright – 3B
Ike Davis – 1B
Jason Bay – LF
Josh Thole – C
Jesus Feliciano – RF
Alex Cora – 2B
Jonathon Niese – LHP

Posted in Gameday Open Thread, Link Dump | 2 Comments

Daily Mets Poll: Will the Mets Make the Playoffs?

[poll id=”22″]

MetsBlog is reporting that oddsmakers believe the Mets have a 37.4% chance of making the postseason. That’s up 2% since last week, which is odd since the Mets have gone 4-5 since then, Mike Pelfrey is struggling and Johan’s velocity is still down. Oh, and the bullpen is a disaster.

But the Mets are still only two games behind the Braves for the division lead and a half game ahead of the Dodgers in the wildcard standings. So this is certainly doable – especially if the Mets are serious about trading for Cliff Lee.

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July 7: Wednesday Morning Mets Links

MetsToday – Carlos Beltran (right on!) and Oliver Perez (oh noes!) are making progress down in Port St. Lucie.

MetsMerized – David Wright is your National League Player of the Month for June 2010. Well done and well deserved!

TheRoPolitans – Andrew Vazzano likes what he saw in last night’s 3-1 victory.

BrooklynMetFan – Ditto for BMF with an added twist – Jerry Manuel’s ejection on Monday may have helped Johan throw a gem last night. That’s a new one…

Real Dirty Mets Blog – Another enthusiastic response to last night’s game.

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Update: Perez and Beltran Making Progress

Via NewYorkMets on Twitter:

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